Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 12

Date: 23 October 2026, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Artigas (Las Piedras) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Matonte Cabrera A. M. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	20:00	Disney+
Brazil	20:00	Disney+
Mexico	17:00	Disney+
Peru	18:00	Disney+
Uruguay	20:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	19:00	Disney+


	Juventud de Las Piedras		Peñarol de Montevideo

	1	X	2
	3.6	3.2	1.95	Watch
	3.50	3.30	1.95
	3.55	3.2	1.98
	3.89	3.46	2.05
	3.79	3.35	2
	3.9	3.35	1.99
	3.91	3.3	1.96	Watch
	3.6	3.3	1.99
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.72 ↑ (3.7)	3.31 ↑ (3.2)	1.98 ↑ (1.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Las Piedras
25%

Draw
28.1%

Peñarol de Montevideo
46.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.5%

28.3%

47.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24%

27.8%

48.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Las Piedras has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Peñarol de Montevideo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Peñarol de Montevideo than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Juventud de Las Piedras - Peñarol de Montevideo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Sosa S. (C) 24. Barrandeguy F. 2. Pernicone P. 5. Morosini D. 8. Rolon K. 19. Cecchini E. 14. Roldan L. 37. Peralta R. 22. Chagas R. 26. Pereiro G. 10. Larregui B.	29. Aguerre W. (G) 28. Alegre I. 2. Pezzella G. 34. Herrera N. 15. Olivera M. (C) 5. Remedi E. 8. Fernandez N. 7. Cabrera J. 26. Espinosa Dovat T. N. 11. Jaime C. 99. Hernandez A.
Substitutes
7. Alaniz A. 27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 31. Diaz M. 29. Dominguez F. 23. Mas E. 25. Mujica I. 21. Perez F. 16. Rabino R.	77. Angulo L. 19. Arezo M. 36. Barboza B. 1. Britos S. (G) 80. Gonzalez F. 3. Lemos M. 27. Lucas Hernandez 16. Olase T. 33. Rodriguez J. 32. Umpierrez L.
Coaches
Blanco Soto S. R.	Aguirre D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45+1', Pernicone P. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
60', Alegre I. ↓, Barboza B. ↑,
60', Cabrera J. ↓, Arezo M. ↑,
60', Espinosa Dovat T. N. ↓, Umpierrez L. ↑,
66', Peralta R. ↓, Alaniz A. ↑,
66', Pereiro G. ↓, Diaz M. ↑,
69', Olivera M. ↓, Lucas Hernandez ↑,
76', Larregui B. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
76', Hernandez A. ↓, Rodriguez J. ↑,
79', Barboza B. 🟨,
82', Cecchini E. 🟨,
89', Fernandez N. 🟨,
90+1', Rolon K. 🟨,
90+2', Barboza B. 🟨,
90+6', Alaniz A. 🟨,

Preview

A clash between two contenders competing at the top of the table (ranked 6th and 4th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventud won 0.

Both teams have shown inconsistent performances in recent matches.

Recently, Peñarol has had a run of games away from home.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Peñarol holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 18 head-to-head meetings, Juventud has recorded 1 win, 6 draws, and 11 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:31 (averaging 0.4:1.7 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juventud against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 4 draws, and 4 losses, with 4:12 goals (averaging 0.4:1.3 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Penarol	12	6	4	2	16:8	8	21
7	Juventud	12	4	6	2	12:8	4	18

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
17.10.26	Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:0 ✺
11.10.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.26	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 LWWTT
- Peñarol de Montevideo
Uruguayan Primera Division
18.10.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:0 ✺
10.10.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
04.10.26	Racing Montevideo - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:1 ✺
30.09.26	Montevideo City Torque - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1 ✺
26.09.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Boston River	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.6 LTWTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
20.04.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:2
21.09.25	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0
27.03.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Peñarol de Montevideo	0:2
21.09.19	Juventud de Las Piedras - Peñarol de Montevideo	1:1
18.08.19	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0
03.03.19	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	4:1
11.11.17	Peñarol de Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:0

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