Match Info

Liga AUF Uruguaya - Clausura - Round 11

Date: 17 October 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Parque Abraham Paladino (Montevideo) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Feres J. (Uru)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	10:00	Disney+
Brazil	10:00	Disney+
Mexico	07:00	Disney+
Peru	08:00	Disney+
Uruguay	10:00	Antel TV, DirecTV Sports, Disney+
Venezuela	09:00	Disney+


	Progreso		Juventud de Las Piedras

	1	X	2
	3.20	3.20	2.00	Watch
	3.20	3.40	2.05
	3.35	3.30	2.12
	3.35	3.58	2.18
	3.27	3.51	2.12
	3.25	3.50	2.13
	3.37	3.37	2.10	Watch
	3.25	3.40	2.10
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.28 ↑ (3.19)	3.41 ↓ (3.49)	2.1 ↑ (2.03)

The most likely Over/Under: 7.75

The best margin for this event is 3.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Progreso
28.4%

Draw
27.3%

Juventud de Las Piedras
44.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

28.7%

26.3%

45.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.3%

26%

45.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Progreso has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Juventud de Las Piedras has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Progreso than the current prediction. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventud de Las Piedras than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Bacchia R. (G) 24. Alvarez E. 15. Martin M. 13. Carroso H. 40. Cougo A. 16. Trasante G. 5. Pinheiro A. 25. Cristobal R. 7. Ocampo A. 10. Lopez N. 8. Juambeltz M.	12. Correa Gonzalez F. N. (G) 24. Barrandeguy F. 5. Morosini D. 2. Pernicone P. 8. Rolon K. 14. Roldan L. 22. Chagas R. 37. Peralta R. 31. Diaz M. 10. Larregui B. 7. Alaniz A.
Substitutes
21. Bruschi S. 2. Cardozo Coitinho S. 30. Codagnone A. 23. Copelotti M. 4. Couture L. 17. De Leon F. 12. Fernandez L. (G) 22. Pablo Oliva J. 27. Silva G. 93. Silva G.	20. Arady B. 27. Boselli J. 4. Caceres M. 19. Cecchini E. 29. Dominguez F. 50. Idiarte M. (G) 23. Mas E. 25. Mujica I. 26. Pereiro G. 21. Perez F.
Coaches
Silva T.	Blanco Soto S. R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
13', Cristobal R. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
59', Juambeltz M. ↓, Copelotti M. ↑,
59', Cristobal R. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
60', Cougo A. 🟨,
61', Alaniz A. ↓, Dominguez F. ↑,
61', Larregui B. ↓, Pereiro G. ↑,
67', Alvarez E. ↓, Silva G. ↑,
67', Cougo A. ↓, De Leon F. ↑,
74', Diaz M. ↓, Arady B. ↑,
74', Chagas R. ↓, Cecchini E. ↑,
78', Peralta R. ↓, Perez F. ↑,
81', Silva G. 🟨,
85', Ocampo A. ↓, Codagnone A. ↑,
87', 1 - 0, Silva G. ⚽,
90+5', 2 - 0, Lopez N. ⚽,

Preview

A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 9th and 6th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Progreso won 1.

Progreso has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Juventud shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Juventud may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Juventud holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 17 head-to-head meetings, Progreso has recorded 6 wins, 4 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 18:19 (averaging 1.1:1.1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Progreso against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 3 losses, with 6:6 goals (averaging 0.9:0.9 per game).

Standings

Clausura

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Progreso	12	6	1	5	13:13	0	19
7	Juventud	12	4	6	2	12:8	4	18

Last Results with these Odds

Progreso - the odds 3.19 are the expected chance of winning is 28.66%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.

Juventud de Las Piedras - the odds 2.03 are the expected chance of winning is 45.08%, but this team recently wins 60% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CA Progreso
Uruguayan Primera Division
10.10.26	Peñarol de Montevideo - Progreso	1:1 ✺
03.10.26	Liverpool Montevideo - Progreso	3:2 ✺
26.09.26	Progreso - Racing Montevideo	2:1 ✺
19.09.26	Boston River - Progreso	1:2 ✺
Uruguay Copa
16.09.26	Progreso - Nacional Montevideo	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.1 TLWWL
- Juventud de Las Piedras
Uruguayan Primera Division
11.10.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Racing Montevideo	2:0 ✺
Uruguay Copa
07.10.26	Plaza Colonia - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:1 ✺
Uruguayan Primera Division
04.10.26	Boston River - Juventud de Las Piedras	0:0 ✺
27.09.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Cerro	0:0 ✺
20.09.26	Albion Montevideo - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.7 WWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Uruguayan Primera Division
16.05.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	2:0
12.04.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:0
Uruguayan Copa de la Liga AUF
18.01.26	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	0:1
Uruguayan Primera Division
09.11.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	1:1
29.06.25	Juventud de Las Piedras - Progreso	2:0
18.05.25	Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras	1:2
Uruguayan Segunda Division
18.11.23	Progreso - Juventud de Las Piedras	2:1

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