Match Info

SPAIN: SEGUNDA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 13

Date: 4 December 2022, Sunday


	Juventud de Torremolinos		Cartagena B

	1	X	2
	2.75	2.75	2.5
	2.8	2.7	2.75
	2.55	2.75	2.85
	3.01	2.89	2.5
	2.7	2.7	2.7
	2.94	2.82	2.51
	2.48	2.9	2.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (3.16)	2.79 ↓ (2.88)	2.67 ↑ (2.22)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventud de Torremolinos
33.2%

Draw
32.7%

Cartagena B
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28.4%

31.2%

40.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.1%

30.9%

40.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventud de Torremolinos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.8%)

Cartagena B has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Cartagena B might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Juventud de Torremolinos than the current prediction. (-5.1%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Juventud de Torremolinos that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cartagena B than the current prediction. (+6.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Cartagena B could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Juventud de Torremolinos - Cartagena B Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Torremolinos will win (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Cartagena B will win (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

A team from the mid-table and outsider will play in this match (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 9).

Juventud de Torremolinos is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Cartagena B is in a first-rate shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Cartagena B could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventud de Torremolinos CF
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
26.11.22	Granada B - Juventud de Torremolinos	4:2 ✺
20.11.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - El Ejido	0:1 ✺
Spanish Copa del Rey
13.11.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - Huesca	3:2 penalties ✺
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
06.11.22	Antequera - Juventud de Torremolinos	2:0 ✺
30.10.22	Juventud de Torremolinos - Cadiz CF B	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13 LLWLL
- Cartagena B
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 4
27.11.22	Cartagena B - Vélez	2:1 ✺
20.11.22	Xerez Deportivo - Cartagena B	0:2 ✺
05.11.22	Cartagena B - Sevilla B	1:0 ✺
30.10.22	Recreativo Huelva - Cartagena B	1:0 ✺
23.10.22	Cartagena B - Racing Cartagena MM	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.2 WWWLT

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