Match Info

Copa Sul-Sudeste - Round 1

Date: 25 March 2026, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Lourival Gomes (Saquarema)


	Sampaio Corrêa FE		Juventude

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.26	3.87	Watch
	1.67	3.25	4.6
	1.76	3.36	4.68
	1.96	3.06	3.52
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.82 ↓ (3.32)	3.23 ↑ (3.2)	4.17 ↑ (2.17)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Sampaio Corrêa FE
50%

Draw
28.2%

Juventude
21.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

28%

29.1%

42.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

27.2%

28.3%

44.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Sampaio Corrêa FE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+22%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Sampaio Corrêa FE's performance.

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-21%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Juventude might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Sampaio Corrêa FE than the current prediction. (-22.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Sampaio Corrêa FE that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+22.2%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Juventude could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
100%	0%	0%

Sampaio Corrêa FE - Juventude Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Sampaio Corrêa will win (votes: 3 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ze Carlos (G) 11. Cruz Manhaes O. 3. Daniel Nunes 9. Elias (C) 6. Guilherme 10. Luan Gama 2. Lucas Carvalho 4. Lucas Marreta 7. Matheus Campos 5. Pablo 8. Walber	12. Pedro Rocha (G) 6. Borges G. 3. Costa K. 10. Davi Goes 2. Eduardo L. 9. Emerson Galego 7. Joao Scatolin 11. Junior C. 5. Kaynan 8. Ly I. 4. Mateus Schaffer
Substitutes
22. Alan 12. Eduardo (G) 19. Ewerton Potiguar 18. Gabriel Agu 21. Jean 17. Joao Martini 20. Lecaros A. 16. Natan 15. Renan Diniz 14. Rocha B. 13. Ryan Andrade 31. Ze Pompeu (G)	15. Begliardi N. 14. Henrique M. 19. Joao Trevisol 21. Joaquim (G) 13. Lima K. 16. Luiz Henrique 17. Sasso 18. Schuh Padilha N. Y. 20. Yarlei

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Elias ⚽,
19', Davi Goes 🟨,
34', Pablo 🟨,
45+4', Lucas Marreta 🟨,
45+6', 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
54', 2 - 0, Cruz Manhaes O. ⚽,
56', Davi Goes ↓, Luiz Henrique ↑,
64', Matheus Campos ↓, Gabriel Agu ↑,
71', Borges G. ↓, Yarlei ↑,
71', Emerson Galego ↓, Schuh Padilha N. Y. ↑,
74', Joao Scatolin 🟨,
80', Pablo ↓, Joao Martini ↑,
80', Elias ↓, Jean ↑,
83', Junior C. ↓, Joao Trevisol ↑,
83', Costa K. ↓, Lima K. ↑,
87', Walber ↓, Renan Diniz ↑,
87', Cruz Manhaes O. ↓, Ewerton Potiguar ↑,
90', Luiz Henrique 🟨,
90+6', 🟨,

Preview

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Juventude may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Sampaio Corrêa is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

Recently, the teams have not faced each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Sampaio Corrêa FE
Brazilian Campeonato Carioca
08.03.26	Nova Iguaçu - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
02.03.26	Portuguesa RJ - Sampaio Corrêa FE	2:0 ✺
26.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Maricá	2:1 ✺
23.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Nova Iguaçu	1:1 ✺
20.02.26	Sampaio Corrêa FE - Portuguesa RJ	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 LLWTW
- EC Juventude
Brazilian Serie B
22.03.26	Avaí - Juventude	2:0 ✺
Copa do Brasil
19.03.26	Juventude - Águia de Marabá	3:0 ✺
12.03.26	Tuna Luso Brasileira - Juventude	1:2 penalties ✺
05.03.26	Juventude - Guaporé	5:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
22.02.26	Juventude - Grêmio	1:2 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.5 LWWWL

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