Match Info

BRAZIL: COPA DO BRASIL - 1/32-FINALS

Date: 13 March 2024, Wednesday

Location: Estadio Alfredo Jaconi (Caxias do Sul)


	Juventude		Paysandu

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.4	4.5
	1.77	3.2	4.2
	1.8	3.4	4.5
	1.78	3.29	4.55
	1.78	3.29	4.56
	1.75	3.4	4.33
	1.84	3.42	4.37
	1.81	3.4	4.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↑ (1.65)	3.35 ↓ (3.55)	4.41 ↓ (4.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventude
51.7%

Draw
27.5%

Paysandu
20.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

25.8%

18.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

25.4%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventude has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Paysandu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventude than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paysandu than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Juventude - Paysandu Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Juventude won 2.

Recent matches Juventude is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paysandu is in a marvelous shape and in addition in the last match got series victories (in the last 5 games wins - 5).

Paysandu could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Juventude is a favorite.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Juventude won 3 matches, drawn 5 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 9-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Juventude won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- EC Juventude
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
09.03.24	Guarany de Bagé - Juventude	0:4 ✺
02.03.24	Juventude - Internacional RS	1:2 ✺
Copa do Brasil
27.02.24	Iguatu - Juventude	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Gaucho
24.02.24	Brasil de Pelotas - Juventude	1:0 ✺
19.02.24	Juventude - Caxias	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2 WLTLT
- Paysandu PA
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
09.03.24	Bragantino do Pará - Paysandu	0:3 ✺
Brazilian Copa Verde
06.03.24	Paysandu - Rio Branco FC	3:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Paraense
03.03.24	Paysandu - Castanhal	3:0 ✺
18.02.24	Cametá - Paysandu	0:1 ✺
07.02.24	Paysandu - Bragantino do Pará	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.6 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Serie C
13.07.19	Juventude - Paysandu	1:1
11.05.19	Paysandu - Juventude	0:1
Brazilian Serie B
31.08.18	Paysandu - Juventude	3:3
11.05.18	Juventude - Paysandu	1:1
29.09.17	Juventude - Paysandu	1:0
17.06.17	Paysandu - Juventude	0:0
Copa do Brasil
27.07.16	Paysandu - Juventude	1:2

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