Match Info

EUROPE: Champions League Women - Group Stage - Round 3

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday

Location: Campo Polisportivo Alessandro La Marmora (Biella)

Referee: Cvetkovic J. (Srb)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	beIN Connect MENA, beIN Sports MENA, TOD
Austria	DAZN
Belgium	DAZN 1
Brazil	DAZN Brasil
Canada	DAZN Canada
France	DAZN France
Germany	DAZN 1 Deutsch
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia
Mexico	DAZN
New-zealand	DAZN New Zealand
Portugal	DAZN 2
Spain	DAZN 2 Espana, DAZN Espana, Movistar Plus+ 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
United-kingdom	beIN Sports MENA English 1, beIN Sports MENA English 2, DAZN 1 UK
Usa	DAZN USA


	Juventus		Arsenal LFC

	1	X	2
	5.25	4.33	1.57
	5	4	1.57
	4.5	4	1.6	Watch
	4.9	4.08	1.65
	4.76	4.2	1.66	Watch
	4.8	3.9	1.5
	4.98	4.15	1.56
	4.5	4	1.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.84 ↑ (3.88)	4.08 ↑ (3.73)	1.59 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 5.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
19.1%

Draw
22.7%

Arsenal LFC
58.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

23.4%

24.3%

52.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

22.6%

25.2%

54.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

Arsenal LFC has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Arsenal LFC's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arsenal LFC than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
14.3%	7.1%	78.6%

Juventus - Arsenal LFC Predictions

Users Predictions: Arsenal LFC will win (11 of 14 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 57.08% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Peyraud-Magnin P. (G) 71. Lenzini M. 25. Calligaris V. 20. Cascarino E. 22. Bergamaschi V. 21. Caruso A. (C) 6. Schatzer E. 13. Boattin L. 9. Cantore S. 14. Vangsgaard A. 18. Beccari C.	14. van Domselaar D. (G) 2. Fox E. 6. Williamson L. 7. Catley S. 11. McCabe K. 10. Little K. (C) 12. Leonhardsen-Maanum F. 13. Walti L. 9. Mead B. 23. Russo A. 19. Foord C.
Substitutes
15. Bennison H. 11. Bonansea B. 17. Bragonzi A. 31. Capelletti A. (G) 34. Gallo A. 10. Girelli C. 27. Krumbiegel P. 4. Kullberg E. 7. Lehmann A. 44. Proulx L. (G) 8. Rosucci M. 19. Thomas L.	25. Blackstenius S. 8. Caldentey M. 5. Codina L. 32. Cooney-Cross K. 17. Hurtig L. 16. Kafaji R. 22. Kuhl K. 62. Reid K. 26. Wienroither L. 40. Williams N. (G) 3. Wubben-Moy C. 1. Zinsberger M. (G)
Coaches
Canzi M.	Slegers R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
38', 0 - 1, Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ⚽, Foord C. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 3)
60', Catley S. 🟨,
60', Mead B. ↓, Caldentey M. ↑,
60', Leonhardsen-Maanum F. ↓, Blackstenius S. ↑,
61', Beccari C. ↓, Bonansea B. ↑,
61', Bergamaschi V. ↓, Krumbiegel P. ↑,
68', Schatzer E. 🟨,
69', Calligaris V. ↓, Kullberg E. ↑,
69', Schatzer E. ↓, Bennison H. ↑,
75', 0 - 2, Blackstenius S. ⚽, Caldentey M. (A),
77', Russo A. ↓, Hurtig L. ↑,
80', 0 - 3, Caldentey M. ⚽,
80', Boattin L. ↓, Thomas L. ↑,
85', Fox E. ↓, Codina L. ↑,
85', Walti L. ↓, Cooney-Cross K. ↑,
87', 0 - 4, Foord C. ⚽, Hurtig L. (A),

Preview

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Juventus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arsenal LFC is a favorite.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Juventus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:2 (average 0.5:1).

Including matches at home between the teams Juventus won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 1:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus Women
Italian Serie A Women
09.11.24	Juventus - Milan	3:0 ✺
Coppa Italia Women
06.11.24	Verona - Juventus	0:4 ✺
Italian Serie A Women
03.11.24	Napoli - Juventus	0:3 ✺
20.10.24	Inter Milan - Juventus	0:0 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.24	Juventus - Bayern Munich	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WWWTL
- Arsenal LFC
English WSL
08.11.24	Arsenal LFC - Brighton & Hove Albion	5:0 ✺
03.11.24	Manchester United - Arsenal LFC	1:1 ✺
20.10.24	West Ham - Arsenal LFC	0:2 ✺
UEFA Champions League Women
16.10.24	Arsenal LFC - Vålerenga	4:1 ✺
English WSL
12.10.24	Arsenal LFC - Chelsea	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.3 WTWWL

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Champions League Women
07.12.22	Arsenal LFC - Juventus	1:0
24.11.22	Juventus - Arsenal LFC	1:1

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