What is the expert prediction for Juventus vs Atalanta?

Our statistical model provides live predictions including win probabilities and estimated scores for Juventus vs Atalanta. Follow the link for detailed analytics.

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Juventus vs Atalanta Predictions, H2H Stats & TV Channels (Saturday, September 27, 2025)

Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 27 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Sozza S. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	ZAP
Albania	Tring Sport 1
Angola	Z Sports 2
Argentina	Disney+, ESPN 3
Armenia	Fast Sports 2, Fast Sports, Setanta Sports 1
Asia	STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic, STARZPLAY Arabic
Australia	Amazon Prime Video, beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3
Austria	DAZN
Azerbaijan	Setanta Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Arena Sport 2
Brazil	Disney+
Bulgaria	Max Sport 3
Canada	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Canada, TLN, VIVA
China	Migu, QQ Sports, ZhiBo8
Colombia	ESPN
Croatia	Arena Sport 4, MAXtv To Go
Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Sport 1
Denmark	TV2 Play
Europe	Go3 Sport Open Baltic, Setanta Sports 1 Baltic
Finland	MTV Katsomo, MTV Katsomo+, MTV Urheilu 3
France	DAZN France
Georgia	Setanta Sports 1, Setanta Sports 2
Germany	Amazon Prime Video, DAZN Deutsch
Greece	COSMOTE Sport 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3, M Plus Live
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Indonesia	Vidio
Iran	IRIB Varzesh
Italy	214 DAZN Zona, DAZN Italia, SKY Go Italia
Japan	DAZN Japan
Kosovo	Arena Premium 3
Kyrgyzstan	Setanta Sports 1
Macao	Macau Cable TV 34 Football
Malaysia	Astro Football, Astro Go, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 3
Mexico	Disney+, ESPN
Moldova	Setanta Sports 1
Netherlands	Ziggo Sport 2, Ziggo Sport
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-central-america	Disney+ Caribbean, ESPN 2 Caribbean, ESPN Norte
Norway	VG+
Peru	Disney+, ESPN
Poland	Eleven Sports 1
Portugal	Sport TV2
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 2, Prima Sport 2
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 1, Match TV, Sportbox.ru
Saudi-arabia	STC TV
Serbia	Arena Premium 3
Slovakia	Sport 1
Slovenia	Arena Sport 3
South-america	ESPN South
South-korea	SPOTV Now, SPOTV Prime
Spain	DAZN Espana
Sweden	TV4 Play, TV4 Sport Live 1
Switzerland	DAZN Switzerland
Tajikistan	Setanta Sports 1
Turkey	S Sport 2, S Sport, S Sport+, Tivibu Spor 1
Turkmenistan	Setanta Sports 1
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, DAZN UK
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, DAZN Espanol, DAZN USA, Fox Deportes, Fox Deportes, Fox Sports App, Foxsports.com, Fox, Paramount+
Uzbekistan	Setanta Sports 1
Venezuela	Disney+, ESPN, Inter


	Juventus		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.91	3.4	4.2	Watch
	1.98	3.35	3.95	Watch
	1.98	3.45	4.38
	2.86	1.59	11.77	Watch
	1.96	3.6	4.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.14 ↑ (1.89)	3.08 ↓ (3.65)	5.74 ↑ (4.01)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 1.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
48.4%

Draw
33.6%

Atalanta
18%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

50.3%

26%

23.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.4%

25%

22.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Atalanta might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
63.2%	13.2%	23.7%

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Predictions

Users Predictions: 38 users predict this event. Juventus will win (votes: 24 - 63.2%). Atalanta will win (votes: 9 - 23.7%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 13.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Juventus: 47.9% – 78.5%.

High ROI Users Predictions (ROI>2%): 16 high ROI users predict this event. Juventus (votes: 11 - 68.8%). Atalanta (votes: 1 - 6.3%). Tie (votes: 4 - 25%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by High ROI users:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 3 - 75%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -0.75 - Juventus (2.13) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 1.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 2 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH -1 - Atalanta (1.48) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH -0.5 - Juventus (1.94) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Juventus (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall votes from High ROI Users Predictions (including all markets): 20 high ROI users predict this event. Juventus (votes: 14 - 70%). Atalanta (votes: 2 - 10%). Tie (votes: 4 - 20%).

Score Prediction (the most likely result by bookmakers): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Di Gregorio M. (G) 4. Gatti F. 3. Bremer (C) 6. Kelly L. 15. Kalulu P. 8. Koopmeiners T. 19. Thuram K. 27. Cambiaso A. 17. Adzic V. 10. Yildiz K. 20. Openda L.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 3. Kossounou O. 19. Djimsiti B. 69. Ahanor H. 16. Bellanova R. 15. De Roon M. (C) 8. Pasalic M. 77. Zappacosta D. 10. Samardzic L. 7. Sulemana K. 90. Krstovic N.
Substitutes
32. Cabal J. 30. David J. 25. Joao Mario 18. Kostic F. 5. Locatelli M. 22. McKennie W. 1. Perin M. (G) 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 24. Rugani D. 9. Vlahovic D. 11. Zhegrova E.	47. Bernasconi L. 44. Brescianini M. 17. De Ketelaere C. 13. Ederson 11. Lookman A. 70. Maldini D. 6. Musah Y. 40. Obric R. 31. Rossi F. (G) 57. Sportiello M. (G)
Coaches
Tudor I.	Juric I.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
32', De Roon M. 🟨,
45+1', 0 - 1, Sulemana K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', Thuram K. ↓, McKennie W. ↑,
58', Adzic V. ↓, Vlahovic D. ↑,
61', Sulemana K. ↓, De Ketelaere C. ↑,
64', Gatti F. ↓, Joao Mario ↑,
64', Openda L. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
76', Bremer ↓, Cabal J. ↑,
76', Samardzic L. ↓, Musah Y. ↑,
78', 1 - 1, Cabal J. ⚽,
80', De Roon M. 🟨,
82', Krstovic N. ↓, Brescianini M. ↑,
87', Zappacosta D. 🟨,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2.

Juventus is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Atalanta has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Juventus is a strong favorite.

There will not play in Juventus: Milik A. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Atalanta: Bakker M. (Knee Injury) Ederson (Knee Injury) Kolasinac S. (Knee Injury) Scalvini G. (Thigh Injury) Scamacca G. (Knee Injury) Zalewski N. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Juventus: Miretti F. (Thigh Injury)

There are questionable in Atalanta: Hien I. (Injury)

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 6 matches, drew 10 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 26:26. (average 1.3:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Juventus won 1 match, drew 6 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 12:15. (average 1.3:1.7).

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Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
Italian Serie A
20.09.25	Verona - Juventus	1:1 ✺
UEFA Champions League
16.09.25	Juventus - Borussia Dortmund	4:4 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.09.25	Juventus - Inter Milan	4:3 ✺
31.08.25	Genoa - Juventus	0:1 ✺
24.08.25	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 TTWWW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
21.09.25	Torino - Atalanta	0:3 ✺
UEFA Champions League
17.09.25	Paris Saint-Germain - Atalanta	4:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
14.09.25	Atalanta - Lecce	4:1 ✺
30.08.25	Parma - Atalanta	1:1 ✺
24.08.25	Atalanta - Pisa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.5 WLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
16.08.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:2
Italian Serie A
09.03.25	Juventus - Atalanta	0:4
14.01.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1
Coppa Italia
15.05.24	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1
Italian Serie A
10.03.24	Juventus - Atalanta	2:2
01.10.23	Atalanta - Juventus	0:0
Club Friendly
12.08.23	Juventus - Atalanta	0:0

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