Match Info

Serie A - Round 5

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: Allianz Stadium (Turin)

Referee: Zufferli L. (Ita)

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3, Sporty TV, Sporty TV App, StarTimes App, SuperSport Football, SuperSport Maximo 360
Albania	Tring Sport 1
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Austria	DAZN
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Brazil	Disney+
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Colombia	Disney+
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Cyprus	Cytavision on the Go, Cytavision Sports 4, Cytavision Sports 4
Czech-republic	Oneplay, Sport 1
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Slovenia	Arena Sport 1 Premium
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Turkey	S Sport 2
Ukraine	MEGOGO Futbol 2, MEGOGO Ukraine
United-kingdom	DAZN, HBO Max, TNT Sports 1, TNT Sports 4
Uruguay	Disney+
Usa	CBS Sports Golazo, Paramount+, Peacock
Venezuela	Disney+


	Juventus		Atalanta

	1	X	2
	1.62	4	5.25	Watch
	1.70	3.80	4.80
	1.65	3.6	5.4	Watch
	1.67	4.1	5.65
	1.66	3.94	5.42	Watch
	1.64	3.9	5.55
	1.64	4.09	5.37
	1.63	4.1	5.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↑ (1.63)	3.94 ↓ (4.02)	5.36 ↑ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus
57.9%

Draw
24.3%

Atalanta
17.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

58.2%

23.6%

18.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.5%

22.7%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Atalanta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atalanta than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Juventus - Atalanta Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Juventus (2.11) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

AH +1.5 - Atalanta (1.40) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Juventus (1.16) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

BTTS - no (1.96) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: Juventus will win (22 of 28 users predict this - 78.57%).
Confidence interval (95%): 63.37% – 93.77%.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Juventus (votes: 3 - 75%). Atalanta (votes: 1 - 25%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
25. Vicario G. (G) 15. Kalulu P. 26. Lucumi J. 3. Bremer (C) 31. Gonzalez N. 22. McKennie W. 12. Douglas Luiz 2. Celik Z. 7. Conceicao F. 17. Alajbegovic K. 9. Kolo Muani R.	29. Carnesecchi M. (G) 16. Bellanova R. 31. Kristensen T. 42. Scalvini G. 47. Bernasconi L. 10. Samardzic L. 19. Kessie F. 13. Ederson (C) 17. De Ketelaere C. 90. Krstovic N. 11. Rowe J.
Substitutes
4. Gatti F. 6. Kelly L. 8. Koopmeiners T. 49. Makiobo G. 43. Pagnucco F. 23. Pinsoglio C. (G) 40. Radu R. (G) 24. Rugani D. 29. Sarr P. M. 27. Woltemade N. 11. Zhegrova E.	99. Elmas E. 70. Gaetano G. 23. Kolasinac S. 43. Mirra J. 40. Obric R. 8. Pasalic M. 22. Pompei T. (G) 18. Raspadori G. 9. Scamacca G. 57. Sportiello M. (G) 59. Zalewski N. 77. Zappacosta D.
Coaches
Spalletti L.	Sarri M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', Kristensen T. 🟨,
22', Conceicao F. 🟨,
28', 1 - 0, Conceicao F. ⚽, Celik Z. (A),
43', Kessie F. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Alajbegovic K. ↓, Sarr P. M. ↑,
63', Samardzic L. ↓, Raspadori G. ↑,
72', Conceicao F. ↓, Zhegrova E. ↑,
72', Gonzalez N. ↓, Koopmeiners T. ↑,
73', Kessie F. ↓, Gaetano G. ↑,
73', Krstovic N. ↓, Scamacca G. ↑,
77', 2 - 0, Bremer ⚽, Zhegrova E. (A),
84', Rowe J. ↓, Elmas E. ↑,
86', McKennie W. ↓, Woltemade N. ↑,
89', Kolo Muani R. ↓, Kelly L. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Juventus won 2.

Juventus is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Performances by Atalanta have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Atalanta could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

Juventus carries the favorite tag into this contest.

Confirmed absences for Juventus: Boga J. (Muscle Injury) Cabal J. (Thigh Injury) Ekhator J. (Muscle Injury) Locatelli M. (Knee Injury) Milik A. (Inactive) Thuram K. (Knee Injury) Yildiz K. (Foot Injury).

Confirmed absences for Atalanta: Hien I. (Muscle Injury) Sulemana K. (Knee Injury).

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Juventus has recorded 7 wins, 9 draws, and 4 losses, with a goal aggregate of 25:24 (averaging 1.3:1.2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Juventus against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 6 draws, and 2 losses, with 12:15 goals (averaging 1.3:1.7 per game).

Outrights of Italian Serie A for now

Juventus: 7.65% Atalanta: 0.8%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
7	Juventus	5	3	1	1	8:4	4	10
11	Atalanta	5	2	0	3	5:7	-2	6

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus
UEFA Europa League
17.09.26	Juventus - NEC Nijmegen	5:0 ✺
Italian Serie A
13.09.26	Sassuolo - Juventus	3:2 ✺
06.09.26	Juventus - Milan	1:1 ✺
29.08.26	Juventus - Parma	2:0 ✺
23.08.26	Frosinone - Juventus	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 WLTWW
- Atalanta
Italian Serie A
12.09.26	Atalanta - Cagliari	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Roma - Atalanta	2:1 ✺
31.08.26	Atalanta - Bologna	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
27.08.26	Hapoel Tel Aviv - Atalanta	0:1 ✺
Italian Serie A
23.08.26	Atalanta - Sassuolo	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.9 LLWWW

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie A
11.04.26	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1
Coppa Italia
05.02.26	Atalanta - Juventus	3:0
Italian Serie A
27.09.25	Juventus - Atalanta	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:2
Italian Serie A
09.03.25	Juventus - Atalanta	0:4
14.01.25	Atalanta - Juventus	1:1
Coppa Italia
15.05.24	Atalanta - Juventus	0:1

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