Match Info

ITALY: Serie C - Group C - Round 21

Date: 4 January 2025, Saturday

Location: Campo Polisportivo Alessandro La Marmora (Biella)


	Juventus U23		Casertana

	1	X	2
	2.65	2.85	2.5
	2.8	2.95	2.65
	2.56	2.92	2.95	Watch
	2.75	2.88	2.62
	2.63	2.96	2.55	Watch
	2.8	2.95	2.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↑ (2.47)	2.92 ↓ (3.09)	2.65 ↓ (2.71)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Juventus U23
34%

Draw
31.4%

Casertana
34.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.9%

29.5%

33.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.4%

28.3%

32.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Juventus U23 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.9%)

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Juventus U23 than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

Juventus U23 - Casertana Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. Daffara G. (G) 7. Mulazzi G. 23. Scaglia F. 26. Gil J. 31. Puczka D. 5. Macca F. 73. Faticanti G. 21. Palumbo M. 6. Comenencia L. 3. Afena-Gyan F. 17. Guerra S.	1. Zanellati A. (G) 6. Heinz J. 4. Kontek I. 44. Gatti R. 32. Paglino S. 19. Collodel R. 8. Damian F. 37. Falasca M. 18. Deli F. 7. Carretta M. 91. Vano M.
Substitutes
16. Amaradio L. 27. Cat Berro S. (G) 24. Citi A. 20. da Graca C. 18. Ledonne N. 28. Owusu A. 74. Papadopoulos C. 42. Peeters D. 13. Poli F. 12. Radu R. (G) 79. Semedo L. 34. Turco S.	13. Bacchetti L. 93. Bakayoko A. 30. Bianchi S. 77. Capasso C. 3. Fabbri A. 21. Iuliano F. 16. Matese M. 12. Pareiko D. (G) 27. Proia F. 34. Rocca S. 10. Salomaa H. 22. Vilardi A. (G)

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Vano M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
63', Deli F. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
68', Palumbo M. 🟨,
73', Paglino S. 🟨,
74', Palumbo M. ↓, Owusu A. ↑,
78', Collodel R. ↓, Bakayoko A. ↑,
80', 1 - 0, Guerra S. ⚽,
83', Macca F. 🟨,
87', Paglino S. ↓, Capasso C. ↑,
87', Damian F. ↓, Iuliano F. ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 17 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out and 16 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).

Juventus U23 is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Casertana is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recently Casertana have a series of home games.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Juventus U23 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Juventus U23 won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0:1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Juventus U23
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.24	Audace Cerignola - Juventus U23	3:3 ✺
14.12.24	Juventus U23 - ACR Messina	2:0 ✺
08.12.24	Cavese - Juventus U23	0:1 ✺
01.12.24	Juventus U23 - Taranto	2:1 ✺
27.11.24	Juventus U23 - Turris	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWWT
- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
21.12.24	Casertana - Latina	0:2 ✺
14.12.24	Casertana - Trapani	0:1 ✺
08.12.24	Crotone - Casertana	2:3 ✺
01.12.24	Casertana - Potenza	0:0 ✺
23.11.24	Casertana - Giugliano	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 LLWTT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
30.08.24	Casertana - Juventus U23	2:3
Italian Serie C Group A
18.05.24	Casertana - Juventus U23	1:3
14.05.24	Juventus U23 - Casertana	0:1

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