Match Info

Serie C - Group C - Round 23

Date: 25 January 2026, Sunday

Location: Stadio Alberto Pinto (Caserta)

Where to Watch on TV:


Italy	NOW TV, SKY Go Italia, Sky Sport 254


	Casertana		Trapani

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.21	4.8	14.5
	1.44	3.95	6.9	Watch
	1.5	3.92	6.88
	1.44	4.13	6.75	Watch
	1.4	3.9	6.5
	1.43	4.3	6.96	Watch
	1.23	4.75	18
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.38 ↓ (1.47)	4.25 ↑ (3.58)	9.5 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Casertana
68.1%

Draw
22.1%

Trapani
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

24.8%

15%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.2%

24%

14.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Casertana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Casertana's performance.

Trapani has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Trapani might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (-5.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Casertana that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Trapani than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	20%	20%

Casertana - Trapani Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Casertana will win (votes: 3 - 60%). Trapani will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 20%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Trapani (votes: 1 - 50%). Tie (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

EH +2 - Trapani (1.73) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

O/U 3.5 - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

AH +1.5 - Trapani (1.88) (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

O/U 1, 1st Half - under (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

BTTS - yes (votes: 3 - 100%) 🥉 Bronze Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 7 Selected Experts predict this event. Trapani (votes: 6 - 85.7%). Tie (votes: 1 - 14.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 13. Bacchetti L. 4. Kontek I. 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Proia F. (C) 16. Pezzella S. 94. Liotti D. 10. Leone K. 20. Bentivegna A. 7. Butic K.	12. Galeotti C. (G) 26. Kirwan N. 31. Pirrello R. 23. Motoc A. 30. Nicoli S. 8. Celeghin E. 4. Nina C. 10. Canotto L. 17. La Sorsa C. 33. Benedetti A. (C) 77. Stauciuc B.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 90. Casarotto M. 29. De Liguori A. 11. Galletta U. 28. Giugno L. 9. Kallon Y. 5. Llano Massa M. T. 12. Merolla E. (G) 25. Toscano M. 91. Vano M. 22. Vilardi A. (G)	20. Aronica G. 19. Di Mitri S. 21. Mac-Leevan E. 90. Maggiore D. (G) 7. Ortisi P. 37. Palmieri R. 1. Ujkaj E. (G) 99. Vapore A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
12', Canotto L. 🟨,
14', Nina C. 🟨,
19', Pirrello R. 🟨,
36', Heinz J. ↓, Llano Massa M. T. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
57', Bentivegna A. ↓, Casarotto M. ↑,
58', Butic K. ↓, Vano M. ↑,
63', La Sorsa C. ↓, Ortisi P. ↑,
71', Leone K. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
71', Liotti D. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
72', Casarotto M. 🟥,
75', Benedetti A. 🟨,
78', Canotto L. ↓, Palmieri R. ↑,
80', Proia F. 🟨,
81', 0 - 1, Nina C. ⚽,
87', Nina C. ↓, Aronica G. ↑,
90+3', Motoc A. 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/16~finals) and 15).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 1.

Casertana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Trapani's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Trapani may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Casertana is the obvious favorite.

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.3:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1. (average 0:0.3).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
4	Casertana	9	4	3	2	15:13	2	15

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Casertana
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Potenza - Casertana	2:0 ✺
11.01.26	Casertana - Benevento	0:0 ✺
05.01.26	Altamura - Casertana	0:2 ✺
19.12.25	Giugliano - Casertana	0:3 ✺
14.12.25	Casertana - Latina	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LTWWW
- Trapani Calcio
Italian Serie C Group C
18.01.26	Trapani - Sorrento	4:0 ✺
10.01.26	Latina - Trapani	2:1 ✺
04.01.26	Trapani - Casarano	1:0 ✺
21.12.25	Siracusa - Trapani	3:0 ✺
13.12.25	Trapani - Nuova Cosenza	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.2 WLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie C Group C
14.09.25	Trapani - Casertana	2:0
27.04.25	Trapani - Casertana	0:1
14.12.24	Casertana - Trapani	0:1
10.03.19	Trapani - Casertana	2:0
10.11.18	Casertana - Trapani	0:0
11.02.18	Casertana - Trapani	0:0
30.09.17	Trapani - Casertana	2:1

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