The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Casertana 46.8%
Draw 30.7%
Latina 22.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.1%
27.3%
21.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.5%
26.1%
20.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Casertana has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)
Latina has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Casertana than the current prediction. (+6.7%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Casertana, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Latina than the current prediction. (-1.9%)
Casertana - Latina Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Latina (votes: 1 - 100%).
Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:
O/U 0.5, 1st Half - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. De Lucia V. (G) 6. Heinz J. 33. Rocchi G. 13. Bacchetti L. (C) 5. Llano Massa M. T. 16. Pezzella S. 25. Toscano M. 94. Liotti D. 91. Vano M. 20. Bentivegna A. 90. Casarotto M.
67. Mastrantonio D. (G) 32. Parodi G. 6. Calabrese B. 13. Marenco F. (C) 3. Porro M. 21. Hergheligiu D. 30. De Ciancio R. 11. Pace F. 10. Riccardi A. 20. Fasan N. 97. Parigi G.
Substitutes
51. Arzillo V. 29. De Liguori A. 21. Di Tommaso L. 3. Falasca M. 11. Galletta U. 9. Kallon Y. 4. Kontek I. 10. Leone K. 12. Merolla E. (G) 18. Oukhadda S. 8. Proia F. 22. Vilardi A. (G)
1. Basti M. (G) 17. Catasus D. 19. Di Giovannantonio G. 18. Dutu E. 7. Ekuban J. 2. Ercolano E. 23. Farneti G. 14. Gagliano L. 22. Iosa A. (G) 77. Pannitteri O. 5. Pellitteri A. 80. Quieto D. 28. Regonesi I. 4. Scravaglieri M. 27. Vona A.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
12', 0 - 1, Parigi G. ⚽,
21', Marenco F. 🟨,
29', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
33', Rocchi G. 🟨,
34', Bacchetti L. 🟨,
44', Riccardi A. 🟨,
45+11', 1 - 1, Bentivegna A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Bacchetti L. ↓, Proia F. ↑,
53', Calabrese B. 🟨,
61', Riccardi A. ↓, Ekuban J. ↑,
61', Fasan N. ↓, Quieto D. ↑,
70', De Ciancio R. 🟨,
70', Llano Massa M. T. ↓, Oukhadda S. ↑,
70', Pezzella S. ↓, Leone K. ↑,
71', Parigi G. ↓, Pellitteri A. ↑,
77', Bentivegna A. ↓, Kallon Y. ↑,
84', Toscano M. ↓, Galletta U. ↑,
89', 2 - 1, Heinz J. ⚽,
90+1', Pace F. ↓, Gagliano L. ↑,
90+2', 🟨,
90+6', 3 - 1, Galletta U. ⚽,
90+8', Galletta U. 🟨,
Preview
This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie C ~ Promotion ~ Play Offs (1/32~finals) and 19 in the zone Serie C ~ Play Out).
Casertana is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Latina's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).
Casertana may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Recently, Latina has had a series of away games.
In this match, Casertana is a strong favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Casertana won 0 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.6:1.2).
Including home matches between the teams, Casertana won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 1:3. (average 0.5:1.5).
Italy
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De Lucia V. (G) 
Llano Massa M. T. 
Hergheligiu D. 
Kallon Y. 
Kontek I. 
Oukhadda S. 
Catasus D. 
Ekuban J. 
Quieto D. 
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