Match Info

Liga MX Women - Apertura - Round 11

Date: 19 October 2026, Monday 🏁 Finished

Location: Estadio Nemesio Díez (Toluca) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sanchez C. (Mex)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Mexico	18:00	ViX Gratis, VIX
South America	—	ViX Latin America


	Toluca		Santos Laguna

	1	X	2
	1.22	6.25	8.25
	1.21	5.80	9.00
	1.18	7.62	14.20
	1.28	5.9	8.2	Watch
	1.14	7.50	14.00
	1.22	6.40	10.70
	1.22	5.75	9.75
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.21 ↓ (1.27)	6.46 ↑ (5.3)	10.59 ↑ (7.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Toluca
76.8%

Draw
14.4%

Santos Laguna
8.8%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71%

17%

12%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Toluca has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Toluca's performance.

Santos Laguna has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Toluca - Santos Laguna Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Lozoya C. (G) 4. Rodriguez Perez Y. 2. Martinez K. 16. Fernandez L. 24. Veje K. 22. Vazquez S. 5. Franco Y. 25. Robert F. 10. Cuevas B. (C) 14. Blackwood D. 9. Le Sommer E.	1. Mendoza K. (G) 21. Soto F. 29. Lopez G. 4. Vaka L. 3. Pickard S. 14. Dorantes A. 7. Rodriguez D. (C) 10. Rodriguez K. 24. Gonzalez Rendon I. A. 25. Diaz N. 9. Calvillo S.
Substitutes
23. Diaz B. 7. Espinosa D. 8. Fernandez K. 28. Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. 6. Henry A. 17. Jakobsson S. 31. Jimenez S. (G) 13. Lopez V. 15. Ramirez M.	26. Arias A. 11. De Leon K. 16. Guevara Ortega C. 6. Ibarra H. 5. Novella Y. 23. Rivas T. (G) 20. Romero Torres L. M.
Coaches
Toril A.	Lazcano J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Franco Y. ↓, Henry A. ↑,
55', Rodriguez D. ↓, Novella Y. ↑,
68', Blackwood D. ↓, Jakobsson S. ↑,
76', Diaz N. ↓, Romero Torres L. M. ↑,
83', Veje K. ↓, Lopez V. ↑,
83', Cuevas B. ↓, Fernandez K. ↑,
86', Gonzalez Rendon I. A. ↓, Arias A. ↑,
88', Robert F. ↓, Gonzalez Diaz Barreiro S. ↑,

Preview

A tightly contested fixture between two evenly matched mid-table sides (ranked 4th in the Promotion - Liga MX Women Apertura - Playoffs and 5th).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Toluca won 5.

Both teams have experienced an unpredictable run of results lately.

Toluca holds a commanding advantage according to the oddsmakers.

In the last 13 head-to-head meetings, Toluca has recorded 10 wins, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 23:6 (averaging 1.8:0.5 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Toluca against this opponent, the record stands at 7 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 16:1 goals (averaging 2.3:0.1 per game).

Outrights of Mexican Liga MX Women for now

Toluca W: 5.06%

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Deportivo Toluca Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
04.10.26	Pachuca - Toluca	1:2 ✺
28.09.26	Necaxa - Toluca	0:4 ✺
21.09.26	Toluca - Tigres UANL	2:7 ✺
14.09.26	Toluca - Tijuana	6:0 ✺
05.09.26	Monterrey - Toluca	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WWLWL
- Santos Laguna Women
Mexican Liga MX Women
02.10.26	Santos Laguna - Puebla	1:0 ✺
26.09.26	Pachuca - Santos Laguna	4:1 ✺
21.09.26	Santos Laguna - Cruz Azul	2:0 ✺
13.09.26	Atlético San Luis - Santos Laguna	2:3 ✺
06.09.26	Tigres UANL - Santos Laguna	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.5 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX Women
20.02.26	Santos Laguna - Toluca	0:1
19.07.25	Toluca - Santos Laguna	1:0
09.02.25	Toluca - Santos Laguna	2:1
06.07.24	Santos Laguna - Toluca	0:2
07.01.24	Toluca - Santos Laguna	7:0
02.10.23	Santos Laguna - Toluca	2:2
20.03.23	Santos Laguna - Toluca	0:2

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