Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 24

Date: 26 September 2026, Saturday

Location: Jarfallavallen (Jarfalla)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Järfälla		AFC Eskilstuna

	1	X	2
				Watch
	4.10	3.90	1.62
	4.2	4.15	1.6
	4.25	5.13	1.6
	3.81	4.91	1.66	Watch
	4	5.05	1.55
	4.4	4.08	1.68	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.13 ↑ (3.72)	4.54 ↑ (3.9)	1.62 ↓ (1.73)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Järfälla
22.4%

Draw
20.4%

AFC Eskilstuna
57.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.3%

23.2%

52.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.9%

22.9%

53.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

AFC Eskilstuna has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Eskilstuna than the current prediction. (-3.9%)

Järfälla - AFC Eskilstuna Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (1.45) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 4. Aksoy Y. 27. Bangala D. 23. Danha C. F. 26. Dibaga D. 20. Drugge E. 7. Fox C. 17. Khalil A. 12. Markovski D. 8. Medhin T N. 9. Wurtz A. (C)	1. Dyplin K. (C) 8. Ahmed I. 6. Blomdahl O. 10. Chabo E. 30. Cherif Fofana I. 9. Flodkvist A. 36. Onnebro A. 5. Parallangaj T. 55. Rydh M. 16. Skoldqvist S. 20. Youla M.
Substitutes
28. Abdulle A. 19. Dahir K. 1. Eide B. (G) 11. Ogestad O. 16. Sabery A. 6. Saweris P. 15. Tinnborg H.	99. Azizovic A. 11. Bjorkman R. 17. Mahari E. 2. Mahmoud L. 19. Mazalovic A. 13. Sundman E. 24. Zhuravlev D.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
11', 1 - 0, Wurtz A. ⚽, Danha C. F. (A),
20', 2 - 0, Khalil A. ⚽, Markovski D. (A),
29', Dibaga D. 🟥,
32', 2 - 1, Cherif Fofana I. ⚽,
36', Youla M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 3)
46', Ahmed I. ↓, Mahari E. ↑,
46', Youla M. ↓, Bjorkman R. ↑,
54', Wurtz A. ↓, Tinnborg H. ↑,
54', Markovski D. ↓, Abdulle A. ↑,
60', Mahari E. 🟨,
63', 2 - 2, Blomdahl O. ⚽,
67', Danha C. F. ↓, Ogestad O. ↑,
68', Khalil A. 🟨,
70', 🟨,
79', 2 - 3, Flodkvist A. ⚽,
79', Chabo E. ↓, Azizovic A. ↑,
80', Medhin T N. ↓, Dahir K. ↑,
80', Fox C. ↓, Saweris P. ↑,
81', Skoldqvist S. ↓, Zhuravlev D. ↑,
84', Flodkvist A. ↓, Mazalovic A. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

A lower-table team faces a stern test hosting a top-ranking contender (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 3rd).

Järfälla is going through a lean spell lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).

AFC Eskilstuna is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).

AFC Eskilstuna carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Järfälla has recorded 0 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 1:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
3	AFC Eskilstuna	25	14	5	6	47:34	13	47
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.26	Piteå - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
17.09.26	Järfälla - Karlberg	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Järfälla - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLLL
- AFC Eskilstuna
Swedish Division 1 Norra
20.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Gefle	0:1 ✺
17.09.26	Assyriska Föreningen - AFC Eskilstuna	2:5 ✺
13.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Piteå	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Karlstad - AFC Eskilstuna	1:2 ✺
29.08.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Sollentuna	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 15.7 LWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
04.04.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Järfälla	1:1

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