Match Info

Division 1 - Norra - Round 23

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday

Location: LF Arena (Piteå)

Where to Watch on TV:


Sweden	Ettan Play


	Piteå		Järfälla

	1	X	2
				Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.10
	1.92	3.7	3.2
	1.95	3.88	3.17
	1.98	4.01	3.16	Watch
	1.91	3.8	3
	1.95	3.68	3.11	Watch
	2.25	3.5	2.7
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↓ (2.3)	3.72 ↑ (3.4)	3.06 ↑ (2.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 7.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Piteå
45.9%

Draw
24.4%

Järfälla
29.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

26.6%

33.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.9%

26.2%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Piteå has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Piteå's performance.

Järfälla has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Piteå than the current prediction. (-7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Piteå that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Järfälla than the current prediction. (+4.7%)

Piteå - Järfälla Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Eriksson F. (C) 16. Brooks B. 26. Felicia G. 25. Hoeve Q. 24. Ingemarson A. 6. Jamehdar S. 10. Johansson F. 14. Lundback J. 7. Muyenga A. 4. Oostra T. 19. Wikstrom I.	30. von Feilitzen E. (G) 3. Akdemir N. 4. Aksoy Y. 27. Bangala D. 23. Danha C. F. 26. Dibaga D. 20. Drugge E. 17. Khalil A. 8. Medhin T N. 11. Ogestad O. 9. Wurtz A. (C)
Substitutes
1. Adell T. (G) 8. Berglund C. 11. Bonilla J. 28. Jordan L. 20. Lindgren A. 23. Lindgren L. 29. Naslund H.	28. Abdulle A. 19. Dahir K. 1. Eide B. (G) 7. Fox C. 12. Markovski D. 24. Nisic K. 16. Sabery A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', Drugge E. 🟨,
31', Jamehdar S. 🟨,
31', 0 - 1, Medhin T N. (Penalty Awarded),
42', Hoeve Q. 🟨,
43', Bangala D. 🟨,
44', Akdemir N. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Khalil A. ↓, Dahir K. ↑,
51', 1 - 1, Johansson F. ⚽,
55', Ogestad O. ↓, Fox C. ↑,
55', Medhin T N. ↓, Abdulle A. ↑,
56', 2 - 1, Felicia G. ⚽, Hoeve Q. (A),
64', Wurtz A. ↓, Sabery A. ↑,
64', Akdemir N. ↓, Nisic K. ↑,
66', Felicia G. 🟨,
71', Brooks B. ↓, Jordan L. ↑,
71', Felicia G. ↓, Bonilla J. ↑,
71', Lundback J. ↓, Berglund C. ↑,
81', Muyenga A. ↓, Naslund H. ↑,
89', Jordan L. 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 1, Naslund H. ⚽, Johansson F. (A),
90+2', Johansson F. ↓, Lindgren A. ↑,

Preview

A high-tension relegation six-pointer between two sides desperate to escape the danger zone (ranked 15th in the Relegation and 14th in the Relegation).

Neither team has been performing at its best in recent fixtures.

Piteå could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.

In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.

In the last 1 head-to-head meeting, Piteå has recorded 0 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with a goal aggregate of 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pitea	25	5	7	13	30:46	-16	22
15	Jarfalla	25	5	4	16	33:55	-22	19

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Piteå IF
Swedish Division 1 Norra
16.09.26	Piteå - Umeå	0:2 ✺
13.09.26	AFC Eskilstuna - Piteå	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Piteå - Karlberg	3:0 ✺
30.08.26	FBK Karlstad - Piteå	4:3 ✺
23.08.26	Hammarby TFF - Piteå	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 23.7 LLWLT
- FC Järfälla
Swedish Division 1 Norra
17.09.26	Järfälla - Karlberg	5:0 ✺
12.09.26	Gefle - Järfälla	3:1 ✺
05.09.26	Järfälla - FBK Karlstad	0:3 ✺
29.08.26	Järfälla - Assyriska Föreningen	0:2 ✺
21.08.26	Stockholm Internazionale - Järfälla	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 WLLLL

Latest Head to Head

Swedish Division 1 Norra
26.04.26	Järfälla - Piteå	1:0

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