Match Info

J2 League - Round 33

Date: 18 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	1.46	4.33	5.5	Watch
	1.5	4.15	5.5
	1.5	4.58	6.2
	1.52	4.36	5.45	Watch
	1.51	4.15	5.63	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.5 ↓ (1.53)	4.31 ↑ (4.08)	5.66 ↑ (5.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
62%

Draw
21.5%

Ventforet Kofu
16.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

60.2%

22.6%

17.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

62.9%

21.6%

16.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.8%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
66.7%	8.3%	25%

V Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 12 users predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki will win (votes: 8 - 66.7%). Kofu will win (votes: 3 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 8.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for V-Varen Nagasaki: 40% – 93.4%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 48. Teruyama H. 29. Arai I. 44. Egawa Y. 50. Onaga H. 5. Yamaguchi H. 8. Diego Pituca 33. Kasayanagi T. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 11. Junio E.	97. Higashi J. (G) 17. Tsuchiya T. 3. Son T. 21. Renato Augusto 7. Araki S. 48. Val Soares 16. Hayashida K. 6. Kobayashi I. 10. Torikai Y. 14. Tanaka Y. 29. Oshima K.
Substitutes
13. Kato M. 25. Kushibiki K. 34. Matsumoto T. 20. Nakamura K. 3. Sekiguchi M. 41. Tadokoro R. 17. Takahata K. 1. Tomizawa M. (G) 18. Yamasaki R.	40. Edu Mancha 20. Endo H. 2. Inoue M. 30. Ishikawa K. (G) 22. Koide Y. 11. Kumakura K. 77. Matheus Leiria 9. Mitsuhira K. 44. Naito Y.
Coaches
Takagi T.	Otsuka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2', Son T. 🟨,
10', 1 - 0, Junio E. ⚽, Sawada T. (A),
26', 2 - 0, Sawada T. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
46', Val Soares ↓, Matheus Leiria ↑,
46', Oshima K. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
46', Junio E. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
64', Sawada T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
65', Torikai Y. ↓, Mitsuhira K. ↑,
71', 3 - 0, Matsumoto T. ⚽, Matheus Jesus (A),
72', Kobayashi I. ↓, Kumakura K. ↑,
78', Onaga H. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
79', Araki S. ↓, Koide Y. ↑,
88', Egawa Y. ↓, Kushibiki K. ↑,
88', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Kato M. ↑,
90+3', 4 - 0, Matheus Jesus ⚽, Takahata K. (A),

Preview

Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 12).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0.

V-Varen Nagasaki is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Kofu's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, V-Varen Nagasaki is considered a favorite.

We predict that V-Varen Nagasaki will win today's game, with odds of 1.5.

In the last 15 head-to-head matches, V-Varen Nagasaki won 4 matches, drew 6 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 15:18. (average 1:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, V-Varen Nagasaki won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 9:8. (average 1.1:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
04.10.25	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
31.08.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Fujieda MYFC	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WTTWW
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
04.10.25	Ventforet Kofu - Júbilo Iwata	0:1 ✺
27.09.25	Iwaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:3 ✺
20.09.25	Ventforet Kofu - Blaublitz Akita	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Ventforet Kofu - Sagan Tosu	2:3 ✺
30.08.25	JEF United Chiba - Ventforet Kofu	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
19.04.25	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
14.07.24	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	2:2
24.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1
20.10.23	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:1
Japan Emperors Cup
07.06.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	0:1
Japan J2 League
12.04.23	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	2:1
02.07.22	Ventforet Kofu - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:1

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