Match Info

J2 League - Round 34

Date: 25 October 2025, Saturday

Location: Peace Stadium (Nagasaki)

Where to Watch on TV:


Japan	DAZN Japan


	V-Varen Nagasaki		Imabari

	1	X	2
	1.61	4	4.5	Watch
	1.65	3.95	4.25	Watch
	1.95	3.85	3.91
	1.97	3.49	3.43	Watch
	1.72	3.84	4.2	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.97)	3.83 ↑ (3.49)	4.06 ↑ (3.43)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

V-Varen Nagasaki
52.5%

Draw
24.4%

Imabari
23%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.8%

26.4%

26.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

49.2%

25.1%

25.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

V-Varen Nagasaki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in V-Varen Nagasaki's performance.

Imabari has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for V-Varen Nagasaki than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Imabari than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.5%	0%	4.5%

V Varen Nagasaki - Imabari Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -0.75 - V-Varen Nagasaki (1.79) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 2nd Half - V-Varen Nagasaki (2.00) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

1X2, 1st Half - V-Varen Nagasaki (2.22) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Users Predictions: V-Varen Nagasaki will win (21 of 22 users predict this - 95.45%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.74% – 100%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): V-Varen Nagasaki will win (5 of 5 users predict this - 100%) 🥈 Silver Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 8 Selected Experts predict this event. V-Varen Nagasaki (votes: 8 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Goto M. (G) 48. Teruyama H. 29. Arai I. 44. Egawa Y. 50. Onaga H. 5. Yamaguchi H. (C) 8. Diego Pituca 33. Kasayanagi T. 10. Matheus Jesus 19. Sawada T. 11. Junio E.	1. Tachikawa K. (G) 16. Omori R. 5. Danilo Cardoso 2. Kato T. 37. Umeki R. 41. Yasui T. 6. Kajiura Y. 14. Yuba K. 17. Mochii K. 18. Arai H. 10. Marcus Vinicius (C)
Substitutes
45. Gabriel Tigrao 31. Harada G. (G) 25. Kushibiki K. 34. Matsumoto T. 20. Nakamura K. 15. Okano J. 3. Sekiguchi M. 18. Yamasaki R. 23. Yoneda S.	3. Fukumori N. 44. Ito G. (G) 9. Kondo T. 50. Mikado Y. 24. Takeuchi Y. 11. Tanque W. 20. Vinicius Diniz 7. Yamada T. 36. Yokoyama Y.
Coaches
Takagi T.	Kuraishi K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
9', 1 - 0, Junio E. ⚽, Onaga H. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Yasui T. ↓, Yokoyama Y. ↑,
57', Junio E. ↓, Yamasaki R. ↑,
57', Sawada T. ↓, Matsumoto T. ↑,
61', Arai H. ↓, Vinicius Diniz ↑,
61', Mochii K. ↓, Tanque W. ↑,
71', Umeki R. ↓, Kondo T. ↑,
78', Kasayanagi T. ↓, Yoneda S. ↑,
80', 1 - 1, Danilo Cardoso ⚽, Yuba K. (A),
86', Onaga H. ↓, Okano J. ↑,
86', Diego Pituca ↓, Gabriel Tigrao ↑,
86', Kajiura Y. ↓, Mikado Y. ↑,
89', Mikado Y. 🟨,
90+5', Gabriel Tigrao 🟨,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League and 9).

V-Varen Nagasaki is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Imabari has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

V-Varen Nagasaki could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, V-Varen Nagasaki won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- V-Varen Nagasaki
Japan J2 League
18.10.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	4:0 ✺
04.10.25	JEF United Chiba - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:2 ✺
28.09.25	Blaublitz Akita - V-Varen Nagasaki	0:0 ✺
20.09.25	V-Varen Nagasaki - Kataller Toyama	1:1 ✺
13.09.25	Omiya Ardija - V-Varen Nagasaki	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8 WWTTW
- FC Imabari
Japan J2 League
19.10.25	Imabari - Renofa Yamaguchi	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tokushima Vortis - Imabari	1:0 ✺
27.09.25	Imabari - Sagan Tosu	1:1 ✺
20.09.25	Omiya Ardija - Imabari	2:3 ✺
13.09.25	Júbilo Iwata - Imabari	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TLTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
06.04.25	Imabari - V-Varen Nagasaki	4:1

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