Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 14

Date: 30 November 2024, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Storks S. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	ARD, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sportschau
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hungary	Arena 4, Net4+
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Digi Sport 3
Slovenia	Sport TV3
Sweden	Viaplay
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 1 MAX, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	ESPN+
World	Onefootball


	Köln		Hannover

	1	X	2
	1.75	3.7	4.5	Watch
	1.73	3.9	4.5
	1.75	3.75	4.33	Watch
	1.8	3.9	4.59
	1.78	3.78	4.47	Watch
	1.73	3.8	4.2
	1.78	3.88	4.29	Watch
	1.75	3.75	4.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↓ (1.78)	3.81 ↓ (3.92)	4.4 ↑ (4.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
53.7%

Draw
24.8%

Hannover
21.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

53.2%

24.2%

22.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.4%

24.1%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

Hannover has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Hannover than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	7.1%	7.1%

Köln - Hannover Predictions

Users Predictions: Köln will win (12 of 14 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 67.38% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Schwabe M. (G) 24. Pauli J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 3. Heintz D. 7. Ljubicic D. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 17. Paqarada L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 37. Maina L. 19. Lemperle T.	1. Zieler R. (C) 2. Knight J. 23. Halstenberg M. 5. Neumann P. 21. Muroya S. 8. Leopold E. 13. Christiansen M. 20. Dehm J. 16. Nielsen H. 9. Tresoldi N. 7. Ngankam J.
Substitutes
18. Carstensen R. 42. Downs D. 35. Finkgrafe M. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 29. Thielmann J. 40. Urbig J. (G) 13. Uth M.	25. Gindorf L. 6. Kunze F. 11. Lee H. 38. Momuluh T. 10. Rochelt J. 32. Voglsammer A. 22. Wallner L. 17. Wdowik B. 30. Weinkauf L. (G)
Coaches
Struber G.	Leitl S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
25', 0 - 1, Ngankam J. ⚽, Leopold E. (A),
43', Nielsen H. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
49', 1 - 1, Lemperle T. ⚽, Paqarada L. (A),
55', Christiansen M. 🟥,
61', Tresoldi N. ↓, Kunze F. ↑,
71', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
71', Pauli J. ↓, Downs D. ↑,
77', Kainz F. 🟨,
81', 2 - 1, Downs D. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
83', Ngankam J. ↓, Momuluh T. ↑,
85', Muroya S. ↓, Voglsammer A. ↑,
86', 2 - 2, Kainz F. (Own goal),
90', Ljubicic D. ↓, Uth M. ↑,
90', Maina L. ↓, Thielmann J. ↑,

Preview

One of the most exciting matches of the day will feature two top-of-the-table teams (ranked 6 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 1.

Köln is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Recent matches Hannover is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Köln could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There are questionable in Hannover: Ezeh B. (Ankle Injury)

Our prediction for today's Köln to win the game is with odds 1.72.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Köln won 1 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 5:8 (average 0.7:1.1).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2:3 (average 0.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
22.11.24	Preußen Münster - Köln	0:1 ✺
09.11.24	Köln - Greuther Fürth	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Hertha Berlin - Köln	0:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
29.10.24	Köln - Holstein Kiel	3:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
25.10.24	Köln - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 WWWWL
- Hannover 96
German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.24	Hannover - Darmstadt	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
14.11.24	Hannover - Magdeburg	2:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.11.24	Elversberg - Hannover	3:1 ✺
02.11.24	Hannover - Karlsruher	2:1 ✺
27.10.24	Magdeburg - Hannover	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
17.02.18	Köln - Hannover	1:1
24.09.17	Hannover - Köln	0:0
12.03.16	Hannover - Köln	0:2
18.10.15	Köln - Hannover	0:1
21.02.15	Köln - Hannover	1:1
24.09.14	Hannover - Köln	1:0
18.03.12	Hannover - Köln	4:1

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