Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Argentina	FOX Sports 2
Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 4
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 2
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	Arena 4
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 1
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	TSN Malta 8
Montenegro	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	Voyo
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	Setanta Sports+
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
World	Onefootball, Prima+ app, Sky Sports app


	Köln		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.75
	1.62	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.45	5.08
	1.65	4.18	4.87	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.33
	1.76	4.15	4.14	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	4.26 ↑ (4)	4.62 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln
57.3%

Draw
22.2%

Paderborn
20.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	11.5%	19.2%

Köln - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Paderborn will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 29. Thielmann J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 19. Lemperle T. 7. Ljubicic D.	30. Schubert M. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 46. Engelns L. 7. Bilbija F. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. (C) 10. Kostons K. 32. Zehnter A. 29. Ansah I.
Substitutes
23. Adamyan S. 18. Carstensen R. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 21. Tigges S.	21. Bauerle A. 9. Baur M. 1. Boevink P. (G) 42. Bravo-Sanchez A. 39. Grimaldi A. 19. Herrmann L. 8. Kinsombi D. 11. Michel S. 25. Scheller T.
Coaches
Struber G.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Ansah I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hoffmeier M. ↓, Scheller T. ↑,
46', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
61', Engelns L. 🟨,
62', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
63', Ljubicic D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Thielmann J. ⚽,
68', Castaneda S. 🟨,
69', Zehnter A. 🟨,
71', Ansah I. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
71', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
71', Kostons K. ↓, Bravo-Sanchez A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Michel S. ⚽, Grimaldi A. (A),
76', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Michel S. ⚽,
83', Engelns L. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
84', Pauli J. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
85', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Curda L. (Red Card) Hansen M. (Ankle Injury) Musliu V. (Broken ankle) Platte F. (Illness) Schulz A. (Tendon Injury) Zehnter A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Ljubicic D. (Illness) Pentke P. (Health problems)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Köln won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.24	Darmstadt - Köln	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
04.10.24	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Paderborn - Hannover	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.11.21	Köln - Paderborn	4:0
German Bundesliga
06.03.20	Paderborn - Köln	1:2
20.10.19	Köln - Paderborn	3:0
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Paderborn - Köln	5:3
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.19	Paderborn - Köln	3:2
16.09.18	Köln - Paderborn	3:5
German Bundesliga
07.02.15	Köln - Paderborn	0:0

Upcoming Matches