Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 10

Date: 25 October 2024, Friday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Lechner F. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Argentina	13:30	FOX Sports 2
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	03:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	18:30	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	18:30	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	18:30	Moja TV, Sportklub 4
Bulgaria	19:30	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	12:30	DAZN Canada
Croatia	18:30	SportKlub 4
Czech Republic	18:30	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	18:30	Viaplay
Finland	19:30	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay, V Sport 2
Germany	18:30	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, WOW
Greece	19:30	Nova Sports 2
Hong Kong	00:30	beIN Sports 2, Now Player
Hungary	18:30	Arena 4
Iceland	16:30	Viaplay
Israel	19:30	Sport 1
Malaysia	00:30	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	18:30	TSN Malta 8
Montenegro	18:30	Sportklub 4
Netherlands	18:30	Viaplay
North Macedonia	18:30	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 4
Norway	18:30	Viaplay, V Sport 2
Poland	18:30	Viaplay
Romania	19:30	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Prima Sport 4
Russia	19:30	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	00:30	beIN Sports 3, StarHub TV+
Slovakia	18:30	Voyo
Slovenia	18:30	Sport TV1
Sweden	18:30	Viaplay
Switzerland	18:30	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2
Turkey	19:30	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 2
Ukraine	19:30	Setanta Sports+
Usa	12:30	ESPN App, ESPN+
International	16:30	Onefootball, Prima+ app, Sky Sports app


	Köln		Paderborn

	1	X	2
	1.62	4.2	4.75	Watch
	1.63	4.2	4.75
	1.62	4.33	4.5	Watch
	1.65	4.45	5.08
	1.65	4.18	4.87	Watch
	1.65	4.2	4.33
	1.76	4.15	4.14	Watch
	1.62	4.33	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.65 ↓ (1.66)	4.26 ↑ (4)	4.62 ↓ (5.15)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
57.3%

Draw
22.2%

Paderborn
20.5%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

57.6%

23.9%

18.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.3%

22.5%

17.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Köln than the current prediction. (+4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
69.2%	11.5%	19.2%

Köln - Paderborn Predictions

Users Predictions: 24 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 16 - 66.7%). Paderborn will win (votes: 5 - 20.8%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 12.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 47.8% – 85.6%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 29. Thielmann J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 19. Lemperle T. 7. Ljubicic D.	30. Schubert M. (G) 33. Hoffmeier M. 20. Gotze F. 4. Brackelmann C. 46. Engelns L. 7. Bilbija F. 5. Castaneda S. 23. Obermair R. (C) 10. Kostons K. 32. Zehnter A. 29. Ansah I.
Substitutes
23. Adamyan S. 18. Carstensen R. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 21. Tigges S.	21. Bauerle A. 9. Baur M. 1. Boevink P. (G) 42. Bravo-Sanchez A. 39. Grimaldi A. 19. Herrmann L. 8. Kinsombi D. 11. Michel S. 25. Scheller T.
Coaches
Struber G.	Kwasniok L.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Ansah I. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Hoffmeier M. ↓, Scheller T. ↑,
46', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
61', Engelns L. 🟨,
62', Ljubicic D. 🟨,
63', Ljubicic D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
66', 1 - 0, Thielmann J. ⚽,
68', Castaneda S. 🟨,
69', Zehnter A. 🟨,
71', Ansah I. ↓, Grimaldi A. ↑,
71', Bilbija F. ↓, Michel S. ↑,
71', Kostons K. ↓, Bravo-Sanchez A. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Michel S. ⚽, Grimaldi A. (A),
76', Lemperle T. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
80', 1 - 2, Michel S. ⚽,
83', Engelns L. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
84', Pauli J. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
85', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,

Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 10 and 5).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Köln won 3.

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

In this match Köln is a favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury)

There will not play in Paderborn: Curda L. (Red Card) Hansen M. (Ankle Injury) Musliu V. (Broken ankle) Platte F. (Illness) Schulz A. (Tendon Injury) Zehnter A. (Foot Injury)

There are questionable in Köln: Ljubicic D. (Illness) Pentke P. (Health problems)

Last 12 head-to-head matches Köln won 5 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 23:17 (average 1.9:1.4).

Including matches at home between the teams Köln won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 13:6 (average 2.2:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
18.10.24	Darmstadt - Köln	5:1 ✺
Club Friendly
10.10.24	Köln - Bochum	3:2 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
05.10.24	Köln - Ulm 1846	2:0 ✺
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWWTT
- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
19.10.24	Kaiserslautern - Paderborn	3:0 ✺
04.10.24	Paderborn - Jahn Regensburg	3:0 ✺
28.09.24	Hamburger SV - Paderborn	2:2 ✺
20.09.24	Paderborn - Hannover	2:1 ✺
13.09.24	Preußen Münster - Paderborn	3:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 LWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Club Friendly
10.11.21	Köln - Paderborn	4:0
German Bundesliga
06.03.20	Paderborn - Köln	1:2
20.10.19	Köln - Paderborn	3:0
Club Friendly
21.03.19	Paderborn - Köln	5:3
German 2 Bundesliga
15.02.19	Paderborn - Köln	3:2
16.09.18	Köln - Paderborn	3:5
German Bundesliga
07.02.15	Köln - Paderborn	0:0

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