Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne)

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 2, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 3
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Montenegro	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Romania	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovakia	Sport TV2
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
World	Onefootball app


	Köln		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	9	Watch
	1.27	6.25	9.75
	1.25	6	10	Watch
	1.29	6.35	10.46
	1.29	6.01	9.32	Watch
	1.25	5.8	9.5
	1.28	6.05	9.4	Watch
	1.27	6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	6.06 ↑ (5.52)	9.6 ↑ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+

Current Win Probability

Köln
74.5%

Draw
15.6%

Ulm 1846
9.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

17.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Köln - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

#ad

Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 35. Finkgrafe M. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 19. Lemperle T. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 42. Downs D.	1. Thiede N. (G) 5. Reichert J. (C) 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 30. Krattenmacher M. 33. Higl F.
Substitutes
23. Adamyan S. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 33. Dietz F. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 29. Thielmann J.	6. Geyer T. 16. Keller A. 10. Ludwig A. 26. Maier P. 19. Meier J. 13. Nelson J. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G) 20. Ulrich L.
Coaches
Struber G.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hubers T. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
21', Brandt M. 🟥,
25', Hubers T. 🟨,
34', Finkgrafe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Waldschmidt L. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
58', Reichert J. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
65', Downs D. ↓, Dietz F. ↑,
66', Lemperle T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
68', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Maier P. ↑,
69', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
71', Paqarada L. 🟨,
73', Waldschmidt L. 🟨,
84', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
87', Rosch R. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,
87', Stoll L. ↓, Geyer T. ↑,
90+1', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Uth M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Ulm: Gaal T. (Ankle Injury) Kahvic A. (Knee Injury) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Köln - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWW
- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.09.24	Paderborn - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLT

Upcoming Matches