Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 8

Date: 5 October 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: RheinEnergieStadion (Cologne) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Alt P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Moja TV, Sportklub 2, Sportklub 3
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport, Play Diema Xtra
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub 2, SportKlub 3
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 3
Montenegro	13:00	Sportklub 3
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
North Macedonia	13:00	MaxTV GO, SportKlub 3
Norway	13:00	Viaplay
Poland	13:00	Viaplay
Romania	14:00	Digi Online, Digi Sport 4, Orange TV Go, Prima Sport PPV 1
Russia	14:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Slovakia	13:00	Sport TV2
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Turkey	14:00	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 1
International	11:00	Onefootball app


	Köln		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.27	6	9	Watch
	1.27	6.25	9.75
	1.25	6	10	Watch
	1.29	6.35	10.46
	1.29	6.01	9.32	Watch
	1.25	5.8	9.5
	1.28	6.05	9.4	Watch
	1.27	6	9.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.27 ↓ (1.33)	6.06 ↑ (5.52)	9.6 ↑ (8.75)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 2.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Köln
74.5%

Draw
15.6%

Ulm 1846
9.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

71.9%

17.3%

10.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

70.8%

17.6%

11.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (+1.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
72.7%	18.2%	9.1%

Köln - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Köln will win (votes: 8 - 72.7%). Ulm will win (votes: 1 - 9.1%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Köln: 46.4% – 99%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
40. Urbig J. (G) 35. Finkgrafe M. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 19. Lemperle T. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 42. Downs D.	1. Thiede N. (G) 5. Reichert J. (C) 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 23. Brandt M. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 30. Krattenmacher M. 33. Higl F.
Substitutes
23. Adamyan S. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 33. Dietz F. 3. Heintz D. 11. Kainz F. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 29. Thielmann J.	6. Geyer T. 16. Keller A. 10. Ludwig A. 26. Maier P. 19. Meier J. 13. Nelson J. 9. Roser L. 12. Seybold M. (G) 20. Ulrich L.
Coaches
Struber G.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
8', 1 - 0, Hubers T. ⚽, Maina L. (A),
21', Brandt M. 🟥,
25', Hubers T. 🟨,
34', Finkgrafe M. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Finkgrafe M. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
47', 2 - 0, Waldschmidt L. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
58', Reichert J. ↓, Meier J. ↑,
65', Downs D. ↓, Dietz F. ↑,
66', Lemperle T. ↓, Kainz F. ↑,
68', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Maier P. ↑,
69', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
71', Paqarada L. 🟨,
73', Waldschmidt L. 🟨,
84', Waldschmidt L. ↓, Adamyan S. ↑,
87', Rosch R. ↓, Ulrich L. ↑,
87', Stoll L. ↓, Geyer T. ↑,
90+1', Huseinbasic D. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,

Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 8 and 12).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

Köln could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Köln is indisputable favorite.

There will not play in Köln: Christensen J. (Knee Injury) Kilian L. (Knee Injury) Uth M. (Groin Injury)

There will not play in Ulm: Gaal T. (Ankle Injury) Kahvic A. (Knee Injury) Ortag C. (Collarbone injury)

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
29.09.24	Köln - Karlsruher	4:4 ✺
21.09.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:2 ✺
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Köln - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.2 TTLWW
- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
27.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Eintracht Braunschweig	3:1 ✺
22.09.24	Elversberg - Ulm 1846	1:3 ✺
14.09.24	Ulm 1846 - Nürnberg	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
05.09.24	Augsburg - Ulm 1846	4:1 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
01.09.24	Paderborn - Ulm 1846	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.5 WWLLT

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