Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Asia	—	TOD
Australia	21:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	13:00	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	13:00	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia And Herzegovina	13:00	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Bulgaria	14:00	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	07:00	DAZN Canada
Croatia	13:00	SportKlub 6
Czech Republic	13:00	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	13:00	Viaplay
Finland	14:00	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	13:00	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	14:00	Nova Sports 3
Hong Kong	19:00	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	11:00	Viaplay
Israel	14:00	Sport 3
Laos	18:00	beIN Connect
Malaysia	19:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	13:00	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	13:00	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	13:00	Viaplay
New Zealand	23:00	beIN Connect
North Macedonia	13:00	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	13:00	Viaplay, V Sport+
Philippines	19:00	beIN Connect
Poland	13:00	Viaplay
Portugal	12:00	DAZN 2
Romania	14:00	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	14:00	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	19:00	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	13:00	Sport TV1
Sweden	13:00	Viaplay
Switzerland	13:00	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	18:00	beIN Connect
Turkey	14:00	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	07:00	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1
International	11:00	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.7	2.3
	2.95	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.75	2.25
	3.06	3.66	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.25
	3.04	3.64	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.61)	3.65 ↓ (3.78)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
31.7%

Draw
26%

Köln
42.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

36.6%

25.2%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

25.8%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	6.7%	40%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Köln will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 19. Iyoha E. 3. Hoffmann A. (C) 15. Oberdorf T. 34. Gavory N. 25. Zimmermann M. 8. Johannesson I. 11. Klaus F. 22. Schmidt D. 21. Rossmann T. 24. Kownacki D.	40. Urbig J. (G) 29. Thielmann J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 19. Lemperle T. 42. Downs D.
Substitutes
23. Appelkamp S. 30. de Wijs J. 12. Fridriksson V. 6. Haag G. 1. Kwasigroch R. (G) 39. Mbamba N. 18. Niemiec J. 10. van Brederode M. 9. Vermeij V.	23. Adamyan S. 18. Carstensen R. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 21. Tigges S.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Waldschmidt L. 🟨,
15', Schmidt D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Martel E. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Iyoha E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schmidt D. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Maina L. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
64', Downs D. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
67', Struber G. 🟨,
70', Iyoha E. ↓, Niemiec J. ↑,
70', Gavory N. ↓, Fridriksson V. ↑,
77', Thielmann J. 🟨,
78', Rossmann T. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
78', Klaus F. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
87', Lemperle T. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
90+4', Paqarada L. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Niemiec J. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
90+6', Niemiec J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 8).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
15.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ulm 1846 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLT
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Köln - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Sandhausen - Köln	2:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Elversberg - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.05.20	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
03.11.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
22.12.13	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:3
28.07.13	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

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