Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 6

Date: 21 September 2024, Saturday

Location: Merkur Spiel-Arena (Düsseldorf)

Referee: Dingert C. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Australia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 2
Austria	Sky Go Austria
Belgium	DAZN 1, Play Sports 1
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV, Sportklub 6
Bulgaria	Diema Sport 3, Play Diema Xtra
Canada	DAZN Canada
Croatia	SportKlub 6
Czech-republic	Nova Sport 4
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde Sport, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, WOW
Greece	Nova Sports 3
Hong-kong	beIN Sports 3
Iceland	Viaplay
Israel	Sport 3
Laos	beIN Connect
Malaysia	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Sooka
Malta	GO TV, TSN Malta 5
Montenegro	Sportklub 6
Netherlands	Viaplay
New-zealand	beIN Connect
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO, Sportklub 6
Norway	Viaplay, V Sport+
Philippines	beIN Connect
Poland	Viaplay
Portugal	DAZN 2
Romania	Orange TV Go, Prima Sport 5
Russia	MATCH! Futbol 3, Sportbox.ru
Singapore	StarHub TV+
Slovenia	Sport TV1
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 2, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3
Thailand	beIN Connect
Turkey	beIN Connect, beIN Sports 3, Tivibu Spor 1
Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+, Flow Sports 1
World	Disney+, Onefootball app


	Fortuna Düsseldorf		Köln

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.7	2.15	Watch
	2.87	3.7	2.3
	2.95	3.5	2.25	Watch
	3.2	3.75	2.25
	3.06	3.66	2.22	Watch
	2.8	3.6	2.25
	3.04	3.64	2.23	Watch
	2.95	3.65	2.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.61)	3.65 ↓ (3.78)	2.24 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 2.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fortuna Düsseldorf
31.7%

Draw
26%

Köln
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

36.6%

25.2%

38.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

35.2%

26.2%

39.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fortuna Düsseldorf has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.9%)

Köln has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fortuna Düsseldorf than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Köln than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
53.3%	6.7%	40%

Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln Predictions

Users Predictions: 15 users predict this event. Fortuna will win (votes: 8 - 53.3%). Köln will win (votes: 6 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 6.7%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Fortuna: 28.1% – 78.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
33. Kastenmeier F. (G) 19. Iyoha E. 3. Hoffmann A. (C) 15. Oberdorf T. 34. Gavory N. 25. Zimmermann M. 8. Johannesson I. 11. Klaus F. 22. Schmidt D. 21. Rossmann T. 24. Kownacki D.	40. Urbig J. (G) 29. Thielmann J. 4. Hubers T. (C) 24. Pauli J. 17. Paqarada L. 9. Waldschmidt L. 6. Martel E. 8. Huseinbasic D. 37. Maina L. 19. Lemperle T. 42. Downs D.
Substitutes
23. Appelkamp S. 30. de Wijs J. 12. Fridriksson V. 6. Haag G. 1. Kwasigroch R. (G) 39. Mbamba N. 18. Niemiec J. 10. van Brederode M. 9. Vermeij V.	23. Adamyan S. 18. Carstensen R. 43. Cuber Potocnik J. 35. Finkgrafe M. 3. Heintz D. 16. Obuz M. 47. Olesen M. 1. Schwabe M. (G) 21. Tigges S.
Coaches
Thioune D.	Struber G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
11', Waldschmidt L. 🟨,
15', Schmidt D. 🟨,
21', 0 - 1, Martel E. ⚽,
25', 1 - 1, Iyoha E. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Schmidt D. ↓, Haag G. ↑,
62', 1 - 2, Maina L. ⚽, Lemperle T. (A),
64', Downs D. ↓, Tigges S. ↑,
67', Struber G. 🟨,
70', Iyoha E. ↓, Niemiec J. ↑,
70', Gavory N. ↓, Fridriksson V. ↑,
77', Thielmann J. 🟨,
78', Rossmann T. ↓, Appelkamp S. ↑,
78', Klaus F. ↓, Vermeij V. ↑,
87', Lemperle T. ↓, Olesen M. ↑,
90+4', Paqarada L. ↓, Heintz D. ↑,
90+5', 2 - 2, Niemiec J. ⚽, Appelkamp S. (A),
90+6', Niemiec J. 🟨,

Preview

During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Bundesliga and 8).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 4 head-to-head matches Fortuna won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 7-6.

Including matches at home between the teams Fortuna won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fortuna Düsseldorf
German 2 Bundesliga
15.09.24	Hertha Berlin - Fortuna Düsseldorf	0:2 ✺
30.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Hannover	1:0 ✺
25.08.24	Ulm 1846 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Dynamo Dresden - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:0 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Karlsruher	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 WWWLT
- 1. FC Köln
German 2 Bundesliga
14.09.24	Köln - Magdeburg	1:2 ✺
01.09.24	Schalke 04 - Köln	1:3 ✺
24.08.24	Köln - Eintracht Braunschweig	5:0 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Sandhausen - Köln	2:3 ET ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
10.08.24	Elversberg - Köln	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 LWWWT

Latest Head to Head

German Bundesliga
24.05.20	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	2:2
03.11.19	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:0
German 2 Bundesliga
22.12.13	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Köln	2:3
28.07.13	Köln - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:1

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