Match Info

GERMANY: 2. Bundesliga - Round 4

Date: 1 September 2024, Sunday

Location: Home Deluxe Arena (Paderborn)

Where to Watch on TV:


Asia	TOD
Bosnia-and-herzegovina	Moja TV
Croatia	SportKlub 5
Denmark	Viaplay
Finland	Elisa Viihde, Veikkaus TV, Viaplay
Germany	Sky Go Germany, Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4, WOW
Iceland	Viaplay
Netherlands	Viaplay
North-macedonia	MaxTV GO
Norway	Viaplay
Poland	Viaplay
Sweden	Viaplay
Switzerland	Sky Sport Bundesliga 1, Sky Sport Bundesliga 3, Sky Sport Bundesliga 4
Turkey	beIN Connect, Tivibu Spor 3
World	Onefootball app


	Paderborn		Ulm 1846

	1	X	2
	1.5	4.75	5.75	Watch
	1.5	4.5	6
	1.47	4.5	6	Watch
	1.52	4.55	5.8
	1.54	4.57	6.04	Watch
	1.44	4.5	6	Watch
	1.5	4.55	6.05	Watch
	1.47	4.5	6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.49 ↓ (1.52)	4.55 ↑ (4.44)	5.96 ↑ (5.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn
63.4%

Draw
20.8%

Ulm 1846
15.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

62.5%

21.4%

16.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

64.4%

20.8%

15.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.9%)

Ulm 1846 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paderborn than the current prediction. (+1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Ulm 1846 than the current prediction. (-0.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
80%	4%	16%

Paderborn - Ulm 1846 Predictions

Users Predictions: Paderborn will win (20 of 24 users predict this - 83.33%).
Confidence interval (95%): 68.42% – 98.24%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Boevink P. (G) 17. Curda L. 20. Gotze F. 25. Scheller T. 23. Obermair R. 5. Castaneda S. 26. Klaas S. 32. Zehnter A. 7. Bilbija F. 39. Grimaldi A. 11. Michel S.	39. Ortag C. (G) 5. Reichert J. 32. Strompf P. 27. Kolbe N. 18. Stoll L. 38. Hyrylainen L. 26. Maier P. 43. Rosch R. 11. Chessa D. 30. Krattenmacher M. 29. Telalovic S.
Substitutes
29. Ansah I. 9. Baur M. 19. Herrmann L. 33. Hoffmeier M. 8. Kinsombi D. 10. Kostons K. 16. Musliu V. 36. Platte F. 30. Schubert M. (G)	23. Brandt M. 4. Gaal T. 6. Geyer T. 33. Higl F. 17. Kolle N. 19. Meier J. 13. Nelson J. 12. Seybold M. (G) 20. Ulrich L.
Coaches
Kwasniok L.	Worle T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
40', Scheller T. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
51', Rosch R. 🟨,
55', Maier P. 🟨,
58', Klaas S. ↓, Herrmann L. ↑,
58', Michel S. ↓, Ansah I. ↑,
60', Telalovic S. ↓, Higl F. ↑,
60', Kolbe N. ↓, Gaal T. ↑,
60', Krattenmacher M. ↓, Nelson J. ↑,
66', Curda L. 🟨,
69', Scheller T. ↓, Hoffmeier M. ↑,
75', Bilbija F. ↓, Kinsombi D. ↑,
75', Grimaldi A. ↓, Kostons K. ↑,
79', Hyrylainen L. ↓, Brandt M. ↑,
88', Castaneda S. 🟨,
90+5', Ortag C. 🟨,
90+9', Gaal T. ↓, Geyer T. ↑,

Preview

Paderborn in the last match got a series victories and it is an a fantastic form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Ulm has a series of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Paderborn could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently Paderborn have a series of guest games.

In this match Paderborn is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paderborn to win the game is with odds 1.51.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn 07
German 2 Bundesliga
24.08.24	Greuther Fürth - Paderborn	1:1 ✺
German DFB Pokal
18.08.24	Bremer SV - Paderborn	0:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
11.08.24	Paderborn - Darmstadt	3:1 ✺
03.08.24	Hertha Berlin - Paderborn	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
13.07.24	Birmingham City - Paderborn	0:5 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.4 TWWWW
- Ulm 1846
German 2 Bundesliga
25.08.24	Ulm 1846 - Fortuna Düsseldorf	1:2 ✺
German DFB Pokal
16.08.24	Ulm 1846 - Bayern Munich	0:4 ✺
German 2 Bundesliga
09.08.24	Jahn Regensburg - Ulm 1846	1:0 ✺
04.08.24	Ulm 1846 - Kaiserslautern	1:2 ✺
Club Friendly
27.07.24	Ingolstadt - Ulm 1846	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1 LLLLT

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