Match Info

RUSSIA: FNL - Round 30

Date: 28 April 2024, Sunday

Location: KAMAZ Stadium (Naberezhnye Chelny)

Referee: Karpov Y. (Rus)


	KAMAZ		Akron Tolyatti

	1	X	2
	3.75	3.05	2.13
	3.71	3.05	2.14
	3.58	3.18	2.12	Watch
	3.55	3	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.65 ↑ (3.15)	3.07 ↓ (3.16)	2.12 ↓ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KAMAZ
25.6%

Draw
30.4%

Akron Tolyatti
44.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.8%

29.7%

40.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

29.7%

29.6%

40.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KAMAZ has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Akron Tolyatti has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KAMAZ than the current prediction. (+4.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Akron Tolyatti than the current prediction. (-3.4%)

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Samok S. (G) 22. Gorelov P. 3. Gyurdzhan A. 27. Manuylov R. 77. Paltsev V. (C) 13. Pochivalin V. 15. Ratnikov S. 6. Rodin D. 8. Starodub D. 97. Talikin D. 10. Zashchepkin R.	1. Volkov S. (G) 26. Andjelkovic N. 27. Chudin I. 23. Danilin K. 15. Danilkin E. 20. Dimoski B. 21. Galoyan A. 9. Glushkov N. 10. Palienko M. 11. Ponce A. 77. Savichev K. (C)
Substitutes
14. Abdullaev S. 31. Anisimov A. (G) 7. Ayukin R. 33. Fartuna B. 99. Gerasimov D. (G) 42. Kirillov Y. 20. Polyutkin A.	16. Akmurzin T. (G) 59. Bart R. 14. Bokoev M. 70. Eldarushev A. 22. Galkin V. 5. Khodzhaniyazov D. 18. Kilin A. 52. Konyukhov V. 6. Makarov S. 8. Pesegov E. 71. Pestryakov D. 19. Sangare D. (G)
Coaches
Klontsak V.	Tedeev Z.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
11', Pochivalin V. 🟨,
41', Glushkov N. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Pochivalin V. ↓, Ayukin R. ↑,
61', Andjelkovic N. 🟨,
63', Chudin I. ↓, Makarov S. ↑,
63', Ponce A. ↓, Eldarushev A. ↑,
64', Ayukin R. 🟨,
69', Starodub D. ↓, Abdullaev S. ↑,
69', Zashchepkin R. ↓, Fartuna B. ↑,
71', Danilin K. ↓, Galkin V. ↑,
78', Rodin D. ↓, Kirillov Y. ↑,
81', Glushkov N. ↓, Bart R. ↑,
83', Gyurdzhan A. 🟨,
90', Gorelov P. ↓, Polyutkin A. ↑,
90+4', 1 - 0, Ratnikov S. ⚽,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 12 and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Premier League (Promotion: )).

Last 5 head-to-head matches KAMAZ won 1.

Recent matches KAMAZ is playing mutable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Akron is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

KAMAZ could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Akron will have a poor advantage in this game.

Last 7 head-to-head matches KAMAZ won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 10-12.

Including matches at home between the teams KAMAZ won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KAMAZ Naberezhnye Chelny
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Khimki - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
20.04.24	KAMAZ - Chernomorets Novorossiysk	1:0 ✺
14.04.24	Kuban Krasnodar - KAMAZ	1:2 ✺
06.04.24	KAMAZ - Volgar Astrakhan	2:2 ✺
30.03.24	Torpedo Moscow - KAMAZ	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LWWTL
- Akron Tolyatti
Russian FNL
24.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Leningradets	0:0 ✺
20.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Kuban Krasnodar	6:0 ✺
13.04.24	Chernomorets Novorossiysk - Akron Tolyatti	0:0 ✺
06.04.24	Akron Tolyatti - Torpedo Moscow	2:1 ✺
31.03.24	Neftekhimik Nizhnekamsk - Akron Tolyatti	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 TWTWT

Latest Head to Head

Russian FNL
16.07.23	Akron Tolyatti - KAMAZ	2:0
11.03.23	Akron Tolyatti - KAMAZ	2:0
21.08.22	KAMAZ - Akron Tolyatti	4:0
26.03.22	KAMAZ - Akron Tolyatti	1:2
15.09.21	Akron Tolyatti - KAMAZ	0:0
Russian PFL Ural-Povolzhye
26.10.19	KAMAZ - Akron Tolyatti	1:2
26.08.19	Akron Tolyatti - KAMAZ	4:4

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