Match Info

Ykkonen

Date: 17 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Kokkolan keskuskentta (Kokkola)


	KPV Kokkola		Atlantis Helsinki

	1	X	2
	1.67	4.1	3.8
	1.73	3.75	3.6
	1.75	3.95	3.65
	1.76	4.3	3.94
	1.71	4.17	3.82	Watch
	1.8	3.7	3.7
	1.67	4.1	4.2
	1.75	3.95	3.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↑ (1.68)	4 (4)	3.8 ↓ (3.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 5.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

KPV Kokkola
53%

Draw
22.9%

Atlantis Helsinki
24.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

54%

22.7%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

55.8%

22%

22.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

KPV Kokkola has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Atlantis Helsinki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for KPV Kokkola than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Atlantis Helsinki than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

KPV Kokkola - Atlantis Helsinki Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Raniowski M. (G) 8. Adebanjo J. O. 11. Atakayi S. 19. Chipesse A. 2. Kepot D. 30. Lansipaa O. 5. Mfundu A. 17. Nuorela L. 18. Petrishin J. 6. Sani S. 9. Wegye W.	93. Abdi A. (G) 94. Ajunwoko C. 45. Fazli M. 3. Fujioka S. 24. Jokiniemi N. 18. Katashira C. 7. Ndaziramiye N. 77. Niska R. 2. Okaizumi S. 12. Sfishta A. 35. Singh A.
Substitutes
21. Aberg M. 10. Adarkwa J. 20. Joao Eric 24. Koivisto W. 12. Marsyla O. (G) 29. William M.	20. Adam Y. 27. Kantelinen S. 39. Koivuharju R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
30', 1 - 0, Wegye W. ⚽,
39', 2 - 0, Chipesse A. ⚽,
44', 3 - 0, Chipesse A. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
55', Jokiniemi N. ↓, Adam Y. ↑,
64', Nuorela L. 🟨,
64', Lansipaa O. ↓, Adarkwa J. ↑,
68', Ndaziramiye N. 🟨,
71', Atakayi S. ↓, Aberg M. ↑,
79', Singh A. ↓, Kantelinen S. ↑,
89', Wegye W. ↓, Joao Eric ↑,
89', Nuorela L. ↓, William M. ↑,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Ykkonen (Championship Group: ) and 10 in the zone Ykkonen (Relegation Group: )).

KPV is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

In recent matches, Atlantis has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

KPV may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, KPV is a strong favorite.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, KPV won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 5:1. (average 1.3:0.3).

Including home match between the teams, KPV won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- KPV Kokkola
Finnish Ykkonen
11.05.25	JJK Jyväskylä - KPV Kokkola	1:1 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	KPV Kokkola - RoPS	2:1 penalties ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
03.05.25	KPV Kokkola - KuPS Akatemia	1:0 ✺
25.04.25	Tampere United - KPV Kokkola	2:0 ✺
19.04.25	KPV Kokkola - Keski-Uusimaa	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.7 TWWLW
- Atlantis Helsinki
Finnish Ykkonen
11.05.25	KuPS Akatemia - Atlantis Helsinki	5:2 ✺
Finnish Cup
07.05.25	Atlantis Helsinki - KaPa	2:1 ✺
Finnish Ykkonen
02.05.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Keski-Uusimaa	2:3 ✺
26.04.25	Jazz Pori - Atlantis Helsinki	0:3 ✺
20.04.25	Atlantis Helsinki - Espoon Palloseura	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Ykkonen
04.10.24	Atlantis Helsinki - KPV Kokkola	1:2
03.08.24	KPV Kokkola - Atlantis Helsinki	2:0
22.05.24	Atlantis Helsinki - KPV Kokkola	0:0
Finnish Cup
31.05.23	Atlantis Helsinki - KPV Kokkola	0:1

KPV Kokkola - Atlantis Helsinki: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide