Match Info

JAPAN: J2 LEAGUE - ROUND 4

Date: 16 March 2024, Saturday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)


	Kagoshima United		JEF United Chiba

	1	X	2
	4.33	3.6	1.8	Watch
	3.8	3.5	1.75
	3.6	3.5	1.95
	4.37	3.88	1.85
	4.37	3.88	1.82
	3.9	3.6	1.73
	4.06	3.74	1.77	Watch
	4.2	3.6	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.08 ↑ (3.44)	3.66 ↑ (3.57)	1.81 ↓ (1.89)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
22.9%

Draw
25.5%

JEF United Chiba
51.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

26.4%

25.5%

48.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.8%

24.9%

49.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+2.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Kagoshima United - JEF United Chiba Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Izumori R. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 28. Tone I. 23. Okamoto S. 3. Toyama R. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 11. Goryo J. 21. Tanaka W. 36. Yonezawa R. 10. Fujimoto N.	1. Fujita K. (G) 2. Takahashi I. 24. Yaguchi S. 13. Suzuki D. 22. Sasaki S. 7. Tanaka K. 4. Taguchi T. 5. Kobayashi Y. 14. Tsubaki N. 8. Kazama K. 10. Komori H.
Substitutes
18. Fukuda M. 4. Hirose K. 92. Nduka C. 65. Nishido H. 14. Nodake H. 31. Ono C. (G) 34. Suzuki S.	9. Goya H. 52. Kuboniwa R. 40. Mendes H. 19. Okaniwa S. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 20. Takagi T. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Oshima Y.	Kobayashi Y.

Preview

The game of competitors is shaky now.

In this match JEF United is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 3-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
09.03.24	Iwaki - Kagoshima United	3:1 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Kagoshima United - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
02.03.24	Kagoshima United - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United	1:1 ✺
Club Friendly
02.02.24	Kagoshima United - Júbilo Iwata	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 LWWTL
- JEF United Chiba
Japan J2 League
10.03.24	Thespakusatsu Gunma - JEF United Chiba	1:3 ✺
Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Kagoshima United - JEF United Chiba	1:0 ✺
Japan J2 League
02.03.24	JEF United Chiba - Fujieda MYFC	4:0 ✺
24.02.24	JEF United Chiba - Montedio Yamagata	2:3 ✺
Club Friendly
18.02.24	Kashiwa Reysol - JEF United Chiba	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J League Cup
06.03.24	Kagoshima United - JEF United Chiba	1:0
Japan J2 League
04.08.19	Kagoshima United - JEF United Chiba	2:1
15.06.19	JEF United Chiba - Kagoshima United	2:1

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