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Current Win Probability
Kashiwa Reysol 61.5%
Draw 22.1%
JEF United Chiba 16.5%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
62.7%
21%
16.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
51.4%
17.2%
19.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kashiwa Reysol has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.2%)
JEF United Chiba has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-10.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kashiwa Reysol that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for JEF United Chiba than the current prediction. (+3.4%)
Who will win by Users?
1
X
2
30%
50%
20%
Kashiwa Reysol - JEF United Chiba Predictions
Users Predictions:
9 users predict this event. Kashiwa will win (votes: 3 - 33.3%). JEF United will win (votes: 2 - 22.2%). It will Tie (votes: 4 - 44.4%). Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 11.9% – 76.9%.
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
25. Kojima R. (G) 42. Harada W. 4. Koga T. (C) 26. Sugioka D. 24. Kubo T. 21. Konishi Y. 39. Nakagawa N. 2. Mitsumaru H. 8. Koizumi Y. 87. Yamauchi H. 18. Kakita Y.
19. Suarez J. (G) 2. Takahashi I. (C) 3. Kuboniwa R. 28. Kawano T. 67. Hidaka M. 6. Eduardo 15. Mae T. 42. Issaka Z. 37. Himeno M. 8. Tsukui T. 9. Goya H.
Substitutes
88. Baba S. 40. Harakawa R. 9. Hosoya M. 15. Komi Y. 27. Kumasaka K. 29. Nagai K. (G) 14. Okubo T. 20. Segawa Y. 32. Yamanouchi Y.
20. Ishikawa D. 27. Iwai T. 30. Matsumura T. 23. Suzuki R. (G) 4. Taguchi T. 7. Tanaka K. 24. Toriumi K. 41. Yasui T. 11. Yonekura K.
Coaches
Rodriguez R.
Kobayashi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
35', 1 - 0, Kakita Y. ⚽, Koizumi Y. (A),
39', 2 - 0, Koizumi Y. ⚽, Kakita Y. (A),
45+2', 2 - 1, Kuboniwa R. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 1)
60', Yamauchi H. ↓, Segawa Y. ↑,
60', Kakita Y. ↓, Hosoya M. ↑,
66', Goya H. ↓, Tanaka K. ↑,
66', Himeno M. ↓, Ishikawa D. ↑,
66', Mae T. ↓, Taguchi T. ↑,
67', Kuboniwa R. 🟨,
71', Kuboniwa R. ↓, Toriumi K. ↑,
75', 3 - 1, Hosoya M. ⚽, Nakagawa N. (A),
79', Kubo T. ↓, Baba S. ↑,
79', Koizumi Y. ↓, Kumasaka K. ↑,
85', 3 - 2, Takahashi I. ⚽, Tsukui T. (A),
86', Mitsumaru H. ↓, Yamanouchi Y. ↑,
86', Issaka Z. ↓, Matsumura T. ↑,
87', Eduardo 🟨,
89', 4 - 2, Koga T. ⚽,
90+1', Matsumura T. 🟨,
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 15th place) and 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J1 League (Placement Play Offs: 19th place)).
JEF United is Qualified for J1 League (Placement Play Offs 19th place)
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 3.
Kashiwa has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 2 wins).
JEF United is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).
In this match, Kashiwa is considered a favorite.
There will not play in Kashiwa: Kumasaka K.
(Knee Injury)
Tezuka K.
(Knee Injury)
Watai M.
(Knee Injury)
Yamada Y.
(Knee Injury)
There will not play in JEF United: Carlinhos Junior
(Red Card)
Ueda Y.
(Knee Injury)
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, Kashiwa won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 16:7. (average 2:0.9).
Including home matches between the teams, Kashiwa won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:5. (average 1.8:1.3).
China
Japan
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Kojima R. (G) 
Suarez J. (G) 
Eduardo 
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