The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Thespakusatsu Gunma 28.1%
Draw 27.4%
Kagoshima United 44.4%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
34%
27.1%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
34%
27.1%
38.9%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Thespakusatsu Gunma has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Thespakusatsu Gunma's form might have worsened.
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Thespakusatsu Gunma, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-5.5%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Kagoshima United, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United Predictions
Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kagoshima United (votes: 1 - 100%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 18. Tanaka S. 36. Adachi S. 37. Sehata G. 19. Mohamado F. 7. Nishimura Y. 8. Yamauchi R. 32. Kawata A.
1. Fujishima E. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 21. Soma J. 7. Chibu K. 3. Sugii H. 73. Tanaka T. 27. Yamaguchi T. 8. Fujimura K. 20. Endo M. 18. Kawamura K. 13. Kondo Y.
Substitutes
9. Aoki S. 15. Kazama K. 14. Kikuchi K. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 38. Konishi H. 49. Kotake S. 43. Nose S. 10. Takazawa Y. 35. Tamashiro T.
11. Fukuda M. 5. Gaudencio 23. Kojima R. 29. Okazaki M. 9. Rodrigo Angelotti 10. Take S. 16. Yamauchi K. (G) 36. Yonezawa R. 14. Yoshio K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
6', 1 - 0, Tanaka S. ⚽, Kawata A. (A),
10', 1 - 1, Endo M. ⚽,
44', 1 - 2, Tanaka T. ⚽, Kawamura K. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
57', Fujimura K. ↓, Gaudencio ↑,
57', Kondo Y. ↓, Rodrigo Angelotti ↑,
63', Adachi S. ↓, Kazama K. ↑,
63', Kawata A. ↓, Takazawa Y. ↑,
66', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
66', Tanaka T. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
69', 2 - 2, Kazama K. ⚽, Takazawa Y. (A),
74', Tanaka S. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
74', Ohata R. ↓, Nose S. ↑,
78', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Fukuda M. ⚽,
88', Nishimura Y. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
90+2', Rodrigo Angelotti 🟨,
Preview
A mid-table team takes on a leader in this match (ranked 13 and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).
Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.
Kagoshima United might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 4:7. (average 1.3:2.3).
Including home match between the teams, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:1.
China
Japan
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Kondo I. (G) 
Kim Je-hee (G) 
Gaudencio 
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