Match Info

JAPAN: J2 League - Round 8

Date: 3 April 2024, Wednesday

Location: Shiranami Stadium (Kagoshima)

Referee: Nagamine K. (Jpn)


	Kagoshima United		Ventforet Kofu

	1	X	2
	2.75	3.2	2.7	Watch
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.6	3.2	2.6	Watch
	2.71	3.45	2.72
	2.71	3.39	2.67
	2.5	3.3	2.45
	2.62	3.28	2.51	Watch
	2.7	3.15	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.64 ↓ (2.84)	3.26 ↑ (3.17)	2.58 ↑ (2.31)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kagoshima United
35.3%

Draw
28.6%

Ventforet Kofu
36.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

32%

28.6%

39.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.9%

27.8%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Ventforet Kofu has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ventforet Kofu than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	0%	75%

Kagoshima United - Ventforet Kofu Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Kagoshima United will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Kofu will win (votes: 3 - 75%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Ono C. (G) 6. Watanabe E. 28. Tone I. 23. Okamoto S. 14. Nodake H. 8. Fujimura K. 27. Yamaguchi T. 11. Goryo J. 21. Tanaka W. 36. Yonezawa R. 34. Suzuki S.	88. Shibuya T. (G) 24. Iida T. 41. Inoue M. 40. Mancha E. 6. Kobayashi I. 16. Hayashida K. 18. Misawa N. 10. Torikai Y. 9. Mitsuhira K. 19. Miyazaki J. 11. Gonzalez F.
Substitutes
9. Arita K. 18. Fukuda M. 4. Hirose K. 1. Izumori R. (G) 35. Nakahara S. 65. Nishido H. 3. Toyama R.	51. Adailton 44. Naito Y. 26. Sato K. 23. Sekiguchi M. 99. Utaka P. 4. Yamamoto H. 33. Yamauchi K. (G)
Coaches
Oshima Y.	Shinoda Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
45', Mancha E. ↓, Yamamoto H. ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', 0 - 1, Miyazaki J. ⚽, Kobayashi I. (A),
52', Goryo J. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
61', Mitsuhira K. ↓, Naito Y. ↑,
61', Gonzalez F. ↓, Utaka P. ↑,
69', Iida T. 🟨,
77', Yamaguchi T. ↓, Arita K. ↑,
77', Yonezawa R. ↓, Nishido H. ↑,
79', Torikai Y. ↓, Sekiguchi M. ↑,
79', Misawa N. ↓, Sato K. ↑,
85', Tone I. 🟨,
85', Nodake H. ↓, Toyama R. ↑,
85', Suzuki S. ↓, Nakahara S. ↑,

Preview

Watch a game between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a team which is a leader now (ranked 14 and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Kagoshima United is in poor shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Kofu is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Kofu will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Including matches at home between the teams Kagoshima United won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 League
30.03.24	Mito HollyHock - Kagoshima United	0:0 ✺
24.03.24	Kagoshima United - Yokohama FC	0:4 ✺
20.03.24	Oita Trinita - Kagoshima United	3:0 ✺
16.03.24	Kagoshima United - JEF United Chiba	4:2 ✺
09.03.24	Iwaki - Kagoshima United	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TLLWL
- Ventforet Kofu
Japan J2 League
30.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Renofa Yamaguchi	0:2 ✺
24.03.24	V-Varen Nagasaki - Ventforet Kofu	1:1 ✺
20.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Iwaki	1:1 ✺
16.03.24	Montedio Yamagata - Ventforet Kofu	0:1 ✺
09.03.24	Ventforet Kofu - Tochigi	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 LTTWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
27.10.19	Ventforet Kofu - Kagoshima United	1:1
09.03.19	Kagoshima United - Ventforet Kofu	0:1

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