The best margin for this event is 6.9%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Astana 68.1%
Draw 19%
Kaspiy Aktau 12.9%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
64.1%
24.1%
11.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
66.1%
23.4%
11.3%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Astana has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)
Kaspiy Aktau has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Astana than the current prediction. (-2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaspiy Aktau than the current prediction. (-1.6%)
Astana - Kaspiy Aktau Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
74. Seysen M. (G) 2. Bartolec K. 6. Kasym A. 5. Kazukolovas K. 11. Vorogovskiy Y. 9. Islamkhan B. 15. Beysebekov A. 8. Basic I. 10. Tomasov M. 81. Karimov R. 72. Basmanov S.
24. Zhomart D. (G) 21. Aripov D. 14. Amaral A. 30. Morgado B. 19. Taykenov M. 23. Nabikhanov A. 15. Epton D. 26. Sedko P. 17. Klimovich V. 11. Ndombasi N. 93. Sylla K.
Substitutes
47. Abrayev M. 20. Ahanonu N. 4. Anuarov S. 29. Buric N. 93. Condric J. (G) 7. Karaman D. 99. Karpikov D. (G) 17. Marat D. 21. Merkel A. 45. Miladinovic I. 77. Shomko D. 71. Tolendi A.
9. Abylaykhan R. 49. Andrin Y. (G) 1. Ayazbaev N. (G) 16. Baydavletov A. 7. Kabylan B. 4. Kadyrbaev E. 67. Kalmyrza M. 27. Nechayev D. 13. Serikbay M. 10. Umaev I.
Coaches
Babayan G.
Esatov R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 2)
23', 0 - 1, Epton D. ⚽, Sylla K. (A),
26', 1 - 1, Tomasov M. ⚽, Vorogovskiy Y. (A),
35', Beysebekov A. 🟨,
35', 1 - 2, Sylla K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
49', Aripov D. 🟨,
59', Basmanov S. ↓, Marat D. ↑,
60', Islamkhan B. ↓, Buric N. ↑,
60', Beysebekov A. ↓, Karaman D. ↑,
64', Ndombasi N. ↓, Umaev I. ↑,
64', Sylla K. ↓, Abylaykhan R. ↑,
68', 2 - 2, Merkel A. ⚽,
71', Amaral A. 🟨,
74', Karimov R. ↓, Merkel A. ↑,
83', Epton D. ↓, Serikbay M. ↑,
90+3', Klimovich V. ↓, Kabylan B. ↑,
90+3', Sedko P. ↓, Nechayev D. ↑,
Preview
Get ready for a battle between the top and the middle of the table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 10).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Astana won 4.
Astana is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Kaspiy has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins โ 1).
Astana may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
In this match, Astana is the undisputed favorite.
In the last 12 head-to-head matches, Astana won 8 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 25:12. (average 2.1:1).
Including home matches between the teams, Astana won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 14:6. (average 2.3:1).