Match Info

Date: 4 November 2021, Thursday


	Kairat		Qarabağ Agdam

	1	X	2
	3	3.4	2.37
	2.9	3.2	2.37
	3.05	3.3	2.4
	2.9	3.2	2.37
	3.05	3.28	2.43
	2.7	3	2.38
	2.89	3.4	2.39
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.93 ↑ (2.67)	3.25 ↓ (3.29)	2.39 ↓ (2.5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kairat
32%

Draw
28.8%

Qarabağ Agdam
39.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.7%

28.2%

37.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

25.4%

20.6%

50.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

Qarabağ Agdam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (-6.6%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kairat that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Qarabağ Agdam than the current prediction. (+11.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Qarabağ Agdam could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kairat - Qarabağ Agdam Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kairat has currently - 1, has a very small chance of 1st (<1%), has a very small chance of 2nd (5%), has a chance of 3rd (35%), has a very small chance of round of 16 (2%), has a very small chance of qtrs (<1%), has a very small chance of semis (<1%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Qarabağ has currently - 7, has a chance of 1st (41%), has a good chance of 2nd (51%), has a small chance of 3rd (7%), has a good chance of round of 16 (54%), has a small chance of qtrs (15%), has a very small chance of semis (4%), has a very small chance of final (<1%), has a very small chance of win league (<1%).

Instantly two teams are in a excellent shape.

Kairat could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Kairat have a series of guest games.

In this match the chances to win of both teams are almost equal.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Kairat won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kairat Almaty
Kazakh Premier League
30.10.21	Zhetysu - Kairat	0:0 ✺
Kazakh Cup
27.10.21	Kaisar - Kairat	0:2 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
24.10.21	Kairat - Astana	1:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.10.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
16.10.21	Aktobe - Kairat	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TWWLW
- FK Qarabağ Agdam
Azerbaijan Premier League
30.10.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Neftchi Baku	4:0 ✺
25.10.21	Səbail - Qarabağ Agdam	3:1 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
21.10.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Kairat	2:1 ✺
Azerbaijan Premier League
17.10.21	Sabah - Qarabağ Agdam	1:2 ✺
03.10.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Gabala	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 WLWWW

Latest Head to Head

UEFA Europa Conference League
21.10.21	Qarabağ Agdam - Kairat	2:1

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