Match Info

Premier League - Round 29

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Koblandy Batyr Stadium (Aktobe) 🌤️ ...

Referee: Sariev B. (Kaz)

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Kazakhstan	19:00	Sport+


	Aktobe		Kairat

	1	X	2
	3.45	3.25	1.87	Watch
	3.51	3.72	1.89
	3.34	3.8	1.91	Watch
	3.40	3.65	1.85
	3.64	3.64	1.93	Watch
	3.25	3.60	1.85
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.43 ↓ (3.8)	3.61 ↑ (3.48)	1.88 ↑ (1.87)

The most likely Over/Under: 0.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Aktobe
26.5%

Draw
25.2%

Kairat
48.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

24.2%

26.5%

49.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.3%

26.5%

49.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Aktobe has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

Kairat has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aktobe than the current prediction. (-2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kairat than the current prediction. (+0.9%)

Aktobe - Kairat Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kairat (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
16. Zarutskiy A. (G) 31. Tanzharikov A. 18. Ordets I. 13. Miangue S. 12. Topalov D. 21. Alvarez P. 6. Atanasov J. 14. Pibe 17. Nani (C) 9. Ojo S. 7. Sosah D.	1. Anarbekov T. (G) 20. Tapalov E. 14. Martynovich A. (C) 25. Shirobokov A. 3. Mata L. 4. Kasabulat D. 13. Oksanen J. 24. Mrynskiy A. 17. Tuyakbaev A. 19. Jukkola O. 28. Gual M.
Substitutes
95. Aymbetov A. 27. Dosmagambetov T. 48. Kenzhegulov A. 29. Kikbaev M. 83. Korganbaev P. (G) 4. Kusyapov T. 22. Seydakhmet E. 1. Trofimets I. (G) 57. Umaniyazov M. 77. Zaria G.	8. Baybek O. 81. Bekbolat I. 15. Birkurmanov M. 82. Kalmurza S. (G) 5. Kurgin L. 22. Mendonsa G. 6. Sadybekov A. 59. Tashpulatov D.
Coaches
Cherevchenko I.	Urazbakhtin R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
5', 1 - 0, Ojo S. ⚽,
11', Jukkola O. 🟨,
26', Martynovich A. 🟨,
32', Miangue S. 🟨,
34', 1 - 1, Tuyakbaev A. ⚽,
35', Tapalov E. ↓, Bekbolat I. ↑,
39', 2 - 1, Pibe ⚽, Sosah D. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
48', Tuyakbaev A. 🟨,
53', Alvarez P. 🟨,
68', Kasabulat D. ↓, Mendonsa G. ↑,
68', Jukkola O. ↓, Kurgin L. ↑,
70', 2 - 2, Gual M. ⚽,
75', Nani ↓, Zaria G. ↑,
80', Atanasov J. ↓, Seydakhmet E. ↑,
84', Pibe ↓, Aymbetov A. ↑,
90+2', Bekbolat I. 🟨,

Preview

One of the standout fixtures of the round, featuring two top-tier sides (ranked 5th and 2nd in the Promotion - Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Aktobe won 1.

Aktobe is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Kairat has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Kairat may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Kairat holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 20 head-to-head meetings, Aktobe has recorded 4 wins, 1 draw, and 15 losses, with a goal aggregate of 26:48 (averaging 1.3:2.4 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Aktobe against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 1 draw, and 4 losses, with 15:14 goals (averaging 1.9:1.8 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kairat Almaty ✔	29	19	7	3	59:22	37	64
5	Aktobe	29	13	7	9	44:37	7	46

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Aktobe
Kazakh Premier League
17.10.26	Aktobe - Ordabasy	1:3 ✺
10.10.26	Yelimay Semey - Aktobe	1:3 ✺
18.09.26	Aktobe - Ulytau	2:2 ✺
12.09.26	Kaspiy Aktau - Aktobe	1:2 ✺
05.09.26	Aktobe - Zhenis	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW
- Kairat Almaty
UEFA Europa Conference League
22.10.26	Kairat - Panathinaikos	1:5 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
18.10.26	Kairat - Ertis Pavlodar	5:0 ✺
UEFA Europa Conference League
15.10.26	Riga - Kairat	1:1 ✺
Kazakh Premier League
10.10.26	Kairat - Zhetysu	1:0 ✺
17.09.26	Astana - Kairat	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.4 LWTWL

Latest Head to Head

Kazakh Premier League
16.03.26	Kairat - Aktobe	1:0
14.09.25	Kairat - Aktobe	1:0
30.05.25	Aktobe - Kairat	1:2
Kazakh Super Cup
22.02.25	Kairat - Aktobe	2:0
Kazakh Premier League
04.10.24	Aktobe - Kairat	2:1
20.04.24	Kairat - Aktobe	1:3
06.08.23	Aktobe - Kairat	4:2

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