Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 33

Date: 8 May 2026, Friday

Location: Fritz Walter Stadion (Kaiserslautern)

Referee: Welz T. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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Usa	ESPN App, ESPN+
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World	Onefootball


	Kaiserslautern		Arminia Bielefeld

	1	X	2
	3	3.5	2.2	Watch
	2.95	3.7	2.2
	2.98	3.5	2.18	Watch
	3.1	3.77	2.25
	3.09	3.42	2.26	Watch
	2.9	3.4	2.2
	3	3.55	2.21	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3 ↑ (2.71)	3.55 ↑ (3.52)	2.21 ↓ (2.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kaiserslautern
31.2%

Draw
26.4%

Arminia Bielefeld
42.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

34.5%

26.5%

39%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.5%

26.5%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kaiserslautern has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.3%)

Arminia Bielefeld has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (+3.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Arminia Bielefeld than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
36.4%	18.2%	45.5%

Kaiserslautern - Arminia Bielefeld Predictions

Users Predictions: 11 users predict this event. Kaiserslautern will win (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Arminia will win (votes: 5 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 18.2%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Arminia: 16.1% – 74.9%.

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Arminia (votes: 1 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 2 - 100%) .

BTTS - yes (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Krahl J. (C) 4. Gyamfi M. 14. Rasmussen J. 31. Sirch L. 2. Asta S. 37. Robinson L. 41. Schramm D. 13. Wekesser E. 7. Ritter M. 17. Bassette N. 19. Hanslik D.	1. Kersken J. (G) 2. Hagmann F. 5. Bauer M. 31. Knoche R. 29. Handwerker T. 6. Corboz M. (C) 21. Russo S. 38. Worl M. 14. Momuluh T. 28. Uldrikis R. 22. Rochelt J.
Substitutes
20. Berisha M. 16. Chernev A. 10. Emreli M. 44. Hofmeister D. 5. Kim Ji-Soo 3. Kleinhansl F. 11. Redondo K. 25. Simoni S. (G) 15. Skytta N.	27. Boakye B. 11. Grodowski J. 19. Grosser M. 24. Lannert C. 18. Oppermann L. (G) 37. Sarenren Bazee N. 8. Schreck S. 7. Telalovic S. 30. Young I.
Coaches
Lieberknecht T.	Kniat M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
11', Bauer M. ↓, Grosser M. ↑,
15', 1 - 0, Ritter M. (Penalty Awarded),
29', 2 - 0, Asta S. ⚽, Ritter M. (A),
32', Ritter M. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
58', Bassette N. 🟨,
64', Handwerker T. ↓, Lannert C. ↑,
64', Worl M. ↓, Grodowski J. ↑,
65', Bassette N. ↓, Emreli M. ↑,
65', Ritter M. ↓, Skytta N. ↑,
74', Sirch L. 🟨,
76', Wekesser E. 🟨,
78', Schramm D. ↓, Hofmeister D. ↑,
80', Asta S. 🟨,
83', Rochelt J. ↓, Telalovic S. ↑,
83', Momuluh T. ↓, Sarenren Bazee N. ↑,
86', Wekesser E. ↓, Kleinhansl F. ↑,
87', Hanslik D. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 7 and 13).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 1.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Arminia is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Kaiserslautern won 3 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:14. (average 1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Kaiserslautern won 0 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:7. (average 0.4:1.4).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Kaiserslautern: 1.78% Arminia Bielefeld: 0.89%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12
15	Arminia Bielefeld	6	1	2	3	10:12	-2	5

Last Results with these Odds

Kaiserslautern - the odds 2.71 are the expected chance of winning is 34.48%, but this team recently wins 50% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Dynamo Dresden - Kaiserslautern	1:0 ✺
24.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Eintracht Braunschweig	0:2 ✺
17.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
11.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LLLWW
- Arminia Bielefeld
German 2 Bundesliga
02.05.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Bochum	1:1 ✺
25.04.26	Preußen Münster - Arminia Bielefeld	2:3 ✺
18.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Nürnberg	1:1 ✺
10.04.26	Karlsruher - Arminia Bielefeld	4:1 ✺
04.04.26	Arminia Bielefeld - Darmstadt	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 TWTLW

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
13.12.25	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	0:0
13.05.23	Kaiserslautern - Arminia Bielefeld	1:2
05.11.22	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	2:3
27.04.18	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	3:2
26.11.17	Kaiserslautern - Arminia Bielefeld	0:2
17.03.17	Arminia Bielefeld - Kaiserslautern	2:0
02.10.16	Kaiserslautern - Arminia Bielefeld	0:0

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