Match Info

2. Bundesliga - Round 30

Date: 17 April 2026, Friday

Location: Holstein-Stadion (Kiel)

Referee: Eckermann M. P. (Ger)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Holstein Kiel		Kaiserslautern

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.7	2.88	Watch
	2.22	3.55	2.88	Watch
	2.39	3.7	3.03
	2.22	3.7	3.02	Watch
	2.25	3.4	2.8	Watch
	2.27	3.73	2.9	Watch
	2.13	3.65	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.25 ↑ (2.1)	3.63 ↑ (3.55)	2.95 ↓ (3.11)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 1.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Holstein Kiel
42%

Draw
26%

Kaiserslautern
32%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.1%

26.1%

29.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

25.9%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Holstein Kiel has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

Kaiserslautern has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Holstein Kiel than the current prediction. (+2.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kaiserslautern than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
78.6%	21.4%	0%

Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern Predictions

Users Predictions: 13 users predict this event. Holstein Kiel will win (votes: 10 - 76.9%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 23.1%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Holstein Kiel: 54% – 99.8%.

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

O/U 2.75 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Weiner T. (G) 23. Rosenboom L. 13. Nekic I. 26. Zec D. 6. Ivezic M. 8. Tohumcu U. 7. Skrzybski S. (C) 28. Meffert J. 49. Ugoh I. 15. Davidsen K. 19. Harres P.	1. Krahl J. (G) 26. Joly P. 4. Gyamfi M. 14. Rasmussen J. 22. Haas M. 6. Kunze F. 15. Skytta N. 8. Sahin S. 7. Ritter M. (C) 17. Bassette N. 20. Berisha M.
Substitutes
43. Borges L. 3. Komenda M. 21. Krumrey J. (G) 25. Muller M. 29. Niehoff N. 40. Parduzi L. 2. Roslyng F. 22. Schwab S. 10. Therkelsen J.	2. Asta S. 10. Emreli M. 19. Hanslik D. 5. Kim Ji-Soo 3. Kleinhansl F. 11. Redondo K. 37. Robinson L. 25. Simoni S. (G) 31. Sirch L.
Coaches
Walter T.	Lieberknecht T.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Tohumcu U. ⚽, Davidsen K. (A),
24', Skrzybski S. ↓, Therkelsen J. ↑,
33', Rosenboom L. 🟨,
33', Joly P. 🟨,
36', 2 - 0, Harres P. ⚽, Ugoh I. (A),
40', 3 - 0, Zec D. ⚽, Tohumcu U. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Bassette N. ↓, Kim Ji-Soo ↑,
46', Ritter M. ↓, Sirch L. ↑,
64', Davidsen K. 🟨,
64', Berisha M. ↓, Hanslik D. ↑,
64', Skytta N. ↓, Redondo K. ↑,
75', Rosenboom L. ↓, Roslyng F. ↑,
75', Ugoh I. ↓, Schwab S. ↑,
83', Zec D. ↓, Niehoff N. ↑,
83', Tohumcu U. ↓, Muller M. ↑,

Preview

Two mid-table teams will face off this time (ranked 12 and 7).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 1.

Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.

Holstein Kiel will hold a modest advantage in this match.

There will not play in Holstein Kiel: Bernhardsson A. (Injury) Erras P. (Concussion) Johansson C. (Knee Injury) Kapralik A. (Yellow Cards) Kelati A. (Muscle Injury)

There will not play in Kaiserslautern: Prtajin I. (Achilles Tendon Injury)

There are questionable in Holstein Kiel: Komenda M. (Injury)

There are questionable in Kaiserslautern: Ritter M. (Injury)

In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Holstein Kiel won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 11:15. (average 1.6:2.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Holstein Kiel won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 5:6. (average 1.7:2).

Outrights of German 2 Bundesliga for now

Kaiserslautern: 1.78% Holstein Kiel: 0.46%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Kaiserslautern	7	3	3	1	6:4	2	12
18	Holstein Kiel	7	0	4	3	7:11	-4	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Holstein Kiel
German 2 Bundesliga
10.04.26	Fortuna Düsseldorf - Holstein Kiel	1:2 ✺
05.04.26	Holstein Kiel - Preußen Münster	0:0 ✺
22.03.26	Bochum - Holstein Kiel	2:3 ✺
14.03.26	Holstein Kiel - Nürnberg	2:3 ✺
07.03.26	Darmstadt - Holstein Kiel	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WTWLL
- 1. FC Kaiserslautern
German 2 Bundesliga
11.04.26	Hertha Berlin - Kaiserslautern	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Kaiserslautern - Fortuna Düsseldorf	3:0 ✺
21.03.26	Nürnberg - Kaiserslautern	3:0 ✺
15.03.26	Kaiserslautern - Karlsruher	3:0 ✺
07.03.26	Bochum - Kaiserslautern	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.5 WWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German 2 Bundesliga
23.11.25	Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel	4:1
27.04.24	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	1:3
26.11.23	Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel	0:3
04.02.23	Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel	2:1
23.07.22	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	2:2
09.02.18	Kaiserslautern - Holstein Kiel	3:1
09.09.17	Holstein Kiel - Kaiserslautern	2:1

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