Match Info

KENYA: Premier League - Round 12

Date: 7 December 2024, Saturday

Where to Watch on TV:


Africa	Azam Sports 3


	Kakamega Homeboyz		AFC Leopards

	1	X	2
	2.28	2.8	3.25
	2.56	2.78	2.49
	2.84	2.96	2.52	Watch
	2.71	2.71	2.7
	2.28	2.8	3.25
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.53 ↑ (1.95)	2.81 ↓ (3.13)	2.84 ↓ (3.91)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
35.8%

Draw
32.3%

AFC Leopards
31.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.1%

29.4%

23.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

28.3%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-11.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kakamega Homeboyz's form might have worsened.

AFC Leopards has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.4%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting AFC Leopards's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+13.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kakamega Homeboyz, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AFC Leopards than the current prediction. (-9.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for AFC Leopards, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
45+2', 0 - 1, Ochieng O. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
90+7', 1 - 1, Odhiambo P. ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
01.12.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Shabana	2:0 ✺
27.11.24	Gor Mahia - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
23.11.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bandari	0:0 ✺
10.11.24	Muranga Seal - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:2 ✺
02.11.24	Sofapaka - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.7 WLTWL
- AFC Leopards
Kenyan Premier League
01.12.24	AFC Leopards - Police FC	1:0 ✺
27.11.24	Shabana - AFC Leopards	2:1 ✺
10.11.24	AFC Leopards - Mara Sugar	1:1 ✺
03.11.24	Ulinzi Stars - AFC Leopards	2:0 ✺
23.10.24	Muranga Seal - AFC Leopards	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.6 WLTLL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
18.02.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	0:0
17.12.23	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:0
Kenyan FKF Cup
20.05.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	2:1
Kenyan Premier League
16.04.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	Kakamega Homeboyz awarded(1:0, 1:0)
21.12.22	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:0
29.05.22	Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards	0:2
29.12.21	AFC Leopards - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:2

Kakamega Homeboyz - AFC Leopards: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide