Match Info

Premier League - Round 7

Date: 2 November 2025, Sunday


	Kakamega Homeboyz		Tusker

	1	X	2
	2.12	2.82	3.55
	2.05	3.16	3.46	Watch
	2.08	3.14	3.55
	2.05	2.9	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↑ (2.03)	3.01 ↓ (3.18)	3.52 ↑ (3.4)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kakamega Homeboyz
43.8%

Draw
30.3%

Tusker
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.6%

26.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

45.1%

28.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kakamega Homeboyz has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Tusker has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kakamega Homeboyz than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tusker than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +0.25 - Tusker (1.98) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Tusker (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
65', 0 - 1, ⚽,
89', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ CAF Champions League (Qualification: ) and 8).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 3.

Homeboyz is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Tusker's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Homeboyz may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Homeboyz is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 18 head-to-head matches, Homeboyz won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 10 matches, and goals 14:21. (average 0.8:1.2).

Including home matches between the teams, Homeboyz won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 6 matches, and goals 8:14. (average 0.8:1.4).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kakamega Homeboyz
Kenyan Premier League
29.10.25	APS Bomet - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:2 ✺
25.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Ulinzi Stars	3:1 ✺
15.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Bidco United	3:1 ✺
11.10.25	Kakamega Homeboyz - Nairobi United	0:2 ✺
03.10.25	Sofapaka - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 WWWLW
- Tusker
Kenyan Premier League
29.10.25	Tusker - Kariobangi Sharks	2:1 ✺
26.10.25	Muranga Seal - Tusker	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Tusker - Shabana	1:1 ✺
01.10.25	Tusker - Mathare United	0:0 ✺
27.09.25	Posta Rangers - Tusker	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 WWTTL

Latest Head to Head

Kenyan Premier League
22.09.24	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	2:2
Kenyan FKF Cup
30.03.24	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:0
Kenyan Premier League
16.09.23	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	2:1
Kenyan FKF Cup
01.07.23	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	0:1
Kenyan Premier League
07.05.23	Tusker - Kakamega Homeboyz	1:0
19.11.22	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:2
23.12.21	Kakamega Homeboyz - Tusker	1:0

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