Match Info

J3 League - Round 11

Date: 3 May 2025, Saturday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Fukushima United

	1	X	2
	1.93	3.25	3.4
	1.95	3.3	3.5
	2	3.52	3.55
	2.03	3.38	3.62	Watch
	1.95	3.1	3.5
	2.04	3.13	3.86	Watch
	1.95	3.3	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.98 ↑ (1.94)	3.28 ↓ (3.55)	3.56 ↑ (3.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
46.3%

Draw
27.9%

Fukushima United
25.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

46.7%

25.5%

27.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.9%

24.4%

26.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	50%	50%

Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Fukushima United will win (votes: 2 - 50%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Fukushima United (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 35. Sago S. 99. Tsukegi Y. 55. Fujii Y. 2. Uchida M. 33. Kawakami S. 15. Iwamoto K. 60. Morikawa Y. 8. Mori Y. 13. Maekawa T. 22. Ono Y.	1. Ueda T. (G) 28. Suzu N. 17. Fujitani T. 2. Yamada M. 23. Anzai T. 7. Harigaya T. 20. Jojo K. 30. Kano K. 9. Shimizu K. 40. Higuchi H. 10. Mori K.
Substitutes
20. Dunga I. 90. Goto Y. 6. Hasegawa H. 3. Ibayashi A. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 23. Iwagishi S. 10. Kawanishi S. 24. Ueno A. 96. Yoshida J.	31. Anzai S. (G) 29. Ishii R. 3. Matsunagane Y. 13. Miyazaki T. 14. Nakamura T. 27. Nozue S. 55. Shibata T. 6. Uehata U. 37. Yui K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
7', 0 - 1, Higuchi H. ⚽, Yamada M. (A),
38', Sago S. 🟨,
45+1', Kawakami S. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Maekawa T. ↓, Yoshida J. ↑,
59', 1 - 1, Ono Y. ⚽, Morikawa Y. (A),
68', Mori Y. ↓, Goto Y. ↑,
70', Mori K. ↓, Ishii R. ↑,
70', Harigaya T. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
70', Jojo K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
73', Uchida M. 🟨,
78', Iwamoto K. ↓, Hasegawa H. ↑,
78', Kawakami S. ↓, Iwagishi S. ↑,
85', Anzai T. ↓, Matsunagane Y. ↑,
85', Suzu N. ↓, Shibata T. ↑,
88', 1 - 2, Higuchi H. ⚽,
90+1', Fujii Y. ↓, Dunga I. ↑,

Preview

This time we’ll see a clash between two mid-table teams (ranked 14 and 9).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 3.

Kamatamare has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Fukushima United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Kamatamare may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Fukushima United has had a series of home games.

Kamatamare is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 4 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 14:11. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:6. (average 1.8:1.2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
20.04.25	Gifu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0 ✺
13.04.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Matsumoto Yamaga	0:2 ✺
06.04.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
30.03.25	Sagamihara - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
23.03.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi City	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.8 LLTTL
- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
23.04.25	Fukushima United - Azul Claro Numazu	1:1 ✺
20.04.25	Fukushima United - Kochi United	3:4 ✺
Japan J League Cup
16.04.25	Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol	2:3 ✺
Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Tochigi City - Fukushima United	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.7 TLLWT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
02.10.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United	4:1
02.06.24	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:1
29.07.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United	1:1
03.05.23	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:0
16.10.22	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:2
10.04.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Fukushima United	0:0
05.12.21	Fukushima United - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1

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