The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tochigi City 48.9%
Draw 27%
Fukushima United 24%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.8%
28%
33.2%
Our Initial ML Estimation
40.3%
29.1%
32%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tochigi City has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Tochigi City's performance.
Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.2%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Fukushima United might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi City than the current prediction. (-8.6%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Tochigi City that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Fukushima United could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Tochigi City - Fukushima United Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Aizawa P. (G) 22. Suzuki H. 42. Jonjic M. 15. Sato Y. 7. Suzuki R. 26. Utsugi S. 20. Tosa R. 14. Sekino G. 5. Okui R. 99. Hiraoka M. 77. Tanaka P. J.
22. Yoshimaru K. (G) 23. Anzai T. 17. Fujitani T. 2. Yamada M. 3. Matsunagane Y. 7. Harigaya T. 20. Jojo K. 6. Uehata U. 40. Higuchi H. 18. Yajima K. 10. Mori K.
Substitutes
2. Carlos Eduardo 17. Fujiwara T. 1. Harada Y. (G) 25. Higashikawa H. 33. Inui T. 16. Kato Jo 8. Mori T. 10. Okaniwa Y. 40. Suzuki K.
38. Awano K. 29. Ishii R. 13. Miyazaki T. 14. Nakamura T. 27. Nozue S. 55. Shibata T. 28. Suzu N. 1. Ueda T. (G) 37. Yui K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
8', Sekino G. 🟨,
17', Okui R. 🟨,
38', 1 - 0, Tanaka P. J. ⚽, Sekino G. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
46', Yajima K. ↓, Ishii R. ↑,
46', Jonjic M. ↓, Carlos Eduardo ↑,
52', Matsunagane Y. 🟨,
58', Utsugi S. ↓, Okaniwa Y. ↑,
65', Hiraoka M. ↓, Fujiwara T. ↑,
65', Suzuki R. ↓, Suzuki K. ↑,
67', Matsunagane Y. ↓, Suzu N. ↑,
67', Fujitani T. ↓, Nozue S. ↑,
76', 1 - 1, Jojo K. ⚽,
78', 2 - 1, Fujiwara T. ⚽,
80', Jojo K. ↓, Nakamura T. ↑,
81', Aizawa P. 🟨,
90', Tosa R. 🟨,
90+1', Suzuki H. ↓, Mori T. ↑,
90+4', 2 - 2, Anzai T. ⚽, Suzu N. (A),
90+8', Anzai T. ↓, Shibata T. ↑,
Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 3 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: ) and 8).
Now both teams are in good shape.
Fukushima United could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
In this match Tochigi City is a favorite.
Recently, the teams did not play each other.
Last Results with these Odds
Fukushima United - the odds 2.75 are the expected chance of winning is 33.22%, but this team recently wins 43% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Aizawa P. (G) 
Jonjic M. 
Carlos Eduardo 
Kato Jo 
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