Match Info

YBC Levain Cup - First stage - 1/32-finals

Date: 16 April 2025, Wednesday

Location: Toho (Fukushima)

Where to Watch on TV:


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	Fukushima United		Kashiwa Reysol

	1	X	2
	7.5	4.33	1.4	Watch
	5.75	4	1.46
	7.2	4.4	1.42	Watch
	7.76	4.4	1.41
	7.53	4.41	1.42	Watch
	6	3.9	1.5
	7.15	4.5	1.43	Watch
	7.2	4.4	1.42
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.01 ↑ (5.5)	4.29 ↑ (3.98)	1.43 ↓ (1.58)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Fukushima United
13.3%

Draw
21.7%

Kashiwa Reysol
65%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

17.1%

23.6%

59.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

16.8%

23.1%

60.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Fukushima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

Kashiwa Reysol has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kashiwa Reysol's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Fukushima United than the current prediction. (+3.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kashiwa Reysol than the current prediction. (-4.4%)

Fukushima United - Kashiwa Reysol Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Kashiwa (1.75) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kashiwa (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ueda T. (G) 28. Suzu N. 17. Fujitani T. 25. Toma H. 3. Matsunagane Y. 37. Yui K. 13. Miyazaki T. 30. Kano K. 14. Nakamura T. 18. Yajima K. 9. Shimizu K.	25. Kojima R. (G) 31. Naruse S. 13. Inukai T. 2. Mitsumaru H. 37. Nakajima S. 33. Shirai E. 28. Toshima S. 3. Diego 29. Shimamura T. 19. Nakama H. 9. Hosoya M.
Substitutes
38. Awano K. 7. Harigaya T. 29. Ishii R. 20. Jojo K. 10. Mori K. 55. Shibata T. 6. Uehata U. 2. Yamada M. 22. Yoshimaru K. (G)	42. Harada W. 15. Kinoshita K. 4. Koga T. 8. Koizumi Y. 27. Kumasaka K. 43. Mohamado F. 39. Nakagawa N. 1. Saruta H. (G) 11. Watai M.
Coaches
Terada S.	Rodriguez R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
5', 0 - 1, Diego ⚽,
19', 0 - 2, Toshima S. ⚽,
44', Toshima S. 🟨,
45', 1 - 2, Yajima K. ⚽,
45+2', 2 - 2, Yajima K. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Naruse S. ↓, Harada W. ↑,
46', Toshima S. ↓, Kumasaka K. ↑,
46', Fujitani T. ↓, Yamada M. ↑,
56', Yui K. 🟨,
59', Shimamura T. ↓, Koizumi Y. ↑,
66', Miyazaki T. ↓, Jojo K. ↑,
66', Kano K. ↓, Uehata U. ↑,
66', Nakamura T. ↓, Mori K. ↑,
66', Yajima K. ↓, Ishii R. ↑,
71', Nakama H. ↓, Watai M. ↑,
74', Shirai E. 🟨,
78', Hosoya M. ↓, Kinoshita K. ↑,
83', 2 - 3, Watai M. ⚽,

Preview

Right away both teams are in a satisfying form.

Kashiwa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Kashiwa is the unquestionable favorite.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Fukushima United
Japan J3 League
12.04.25	Fukushima United - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Tochigi City - Fukushima United	2:2 ✺
30.03.25	Fukushima United - Gainare Tottori	3:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
26.03.25	Fukushima United - Consadole Sapporo	6:3 ET ✺
Japan J3 League
23.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Fukushima United	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.4 WTWWL
- Kashiwa Reysol
Japan J1 League
11.04.25	Tokyo - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
06.04.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Gamba Osaka	1:0 ✺
02.04.25	Kyoto Sanga - Kashiwa Reysol	1:1 ✺
29.03.25	Kashiwa Reysol - Tokyo Verdy	0:0 ✺
Japan J League Cup
20.03.25	Azul Claro Numazu - Kashiwa Reysol	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 TWTTW

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