The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kamatamare Sanuki 26%
Draw 26.9%
Osaka 47.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
31.6%
28.1%
40.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
30.2%
26.9%
42.1%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.6%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kamatamare Sanuki's form might have worsened.
Osaka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.8%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Osaka's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+4.2%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (-5%)
Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
1. Imamura Y. (G) 20. Lee Gi-San 30. Oka H. 6. Miyazaki S. 66. Woo S. 29. Tao K. 11. Sano R. 86. Asada H. 24. Ueno A. 90. Goto Y. 77. Murakami Y.
1. Sugawara H. (G) 11. Tsutsumi S. 5. Minakuchi Y. 40. Kawakami R. 6. Tachino S. 10. Kubo R. 37. Iesaka Y. 14. Sumida S. 36. Morimura S. 9. Shimada T. 29. Sugawara R.
Substitutes
7. Eguchi N. 39. Harano R. 3. Ibayashi A. 14. Ishikura J. 5. Kokubun M. 17. Makiyama K. 60. Morikawa Y. 23. Takahashi C. (G) 40. Takashima S.
23. Akiyama T. 15. Fukui K. 7. Kitsui T. 41. Nose R. 31. Sekinuma N. (G) 16. Tanaka K. 32. Toriyama H. 28. Toya T. 99. Vinicius Souza
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 1)
21', 0 - 1, Sugawara R. ⚽, Tachino S. (A),
29', 1 - 1, Asada H. ⚽, Woo S. (A),
36', Woo S. 🟨,
43', Iesaka Y. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Tao K. ↓, Takashima S. ↑,
50', 1 - 2, Iesaka Y. ⚽, Sumida S. (A),
62', Asada H. ↓, Kokubun M. ↑,
69', Morimura S. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
83', Kubo R. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
83', Sugawara R. ↓, Kitsui T. ↑,
83', Shimada T. ↓, Vinicius Souza ↑,
83', 2 - 2, Lee Gi-San ⚽, Eguchi N. (A),
84', Murakami Y. ↓, Morikawa Y. ↑,
84', Woo S. ↓, Eguchi N. ↑,
87', Vinicius Souza 🟨,
90+5', Sano R. ↓, Ibayashi A. ↑,
Penalties (4 - 5)
1, Eguchi N. (Penalty Awarded),
1, Kawakami R. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Ibayashi A. (Penalty Awarded),
2, Nose R. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Miyazaki S. (Penalty Awarded),
3, Sumida S. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Oka H. (Penalty Awarded),
4, Toya T. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Goto Y. (Penalty Awarded),
5, Tachino S. (Penalty Awarded),
Preview
In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 9 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2.
Both teams are showing inconsistent performances lately.
Osaka may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.
Osaka is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.
In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 6:8. (average 0.9:1.1).
Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.3:1.7).
Last Results with these Odds
Kamatamare Sanuki - the odds 2.95 are the expected chance of winning is 31.56%, but this team recently wins 20% of matches with these odds.
Osaka - the odds 2.31 are the expected chance of winning is 40.31%, but this team recently wins 46% of matches with these odds.
China
Japan
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Imamura Y. (G) 
Lee Gi-San 
Vinicius Souza 
