Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement Play Offs - Final

Date: 7 June 2026, Sunday

Location: Soyu Stadium (Akita)


	Blaublitz Akita		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.50	3.00	2.55
	2.85	3.00	2.55	Watch
	2.69	3.12	2.55
	2.84	3.02	2.54	Watch
	2.60	3.00	2.45
	2.74	3.10	2.60	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.7 ↓ (2.92)	3.04 ↑ (2.95)	2.54 ↑ (2.37)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Blaublitz Akita
33.9%

Draw
30.1%

Kagoshima United
36%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

31%

30.7%

38.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31%

30.7%

38.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Blaublitz Akita has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Kagoshima United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Blaublitz Akita than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (+2.3%)

Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Yamada G. (G) 22. Takahashi H. 17. Nonomura T. 4. Okano J. 5. Nagai K. 16. Yoshioka M. 66. Doi K. 6. Morooka H. 10. Sato D. 11. Sagawa K. 18. Handa K.	21. Kawakami K. (G) 44. Aoki Y. 5. Yamada Y. 35. Egawa G. 3. Sugii H. 2. Saga R. 14. Yoshio K. 8. Fujimura K. 20. Endo M. 18. Kawamura K. 9. Arita R.
Substitutes
25. Fujiyama T. 47. Horiuchi T. (G) 3. Iizumi R. 77. Nakano Y. 52. Nishimura M. 14. Oishi R. 8. Umeda K. 23. Yatagai S. (G)	7. Chibu K. 11. Fukuda M. 19. Inaba S. 23. Kojima R. 73. Kumakura T. (G) 16. Muramatsu K. 55. Nakayama K. 10. Take S. 36. Yonezawa R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
30', 0 - 1, Kawamura K. ⚽, Arita R. (A),
42', 0 - 2, Saga R. ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
48', Sato D. 🟨,
56', Handa K. ↓, Umeda K. ↑,
60', Yamada Y. ↓, Muramatsu K. ↑,
69', Doi K. ↓, Fujiyama T. ↑,
69', Yoshioka M. ↓, Nakano Y. ↑,
79', Sagawa K. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
86', Kawamura K. ↓, Yonezawa R. ↑,
86', Endo M. ↓, Fukuda M. ↑,
90+2', Yoshio K. ↓, Inaba S. ↑,
90+2', Arita R. ↓, Nakayama K. ↑,

Preview

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Kagoshima United may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Blaublitz Akita has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Blaublitz Akita won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 0.5:0.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Blaublitz Akita won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Blaublitz Akita
Japan J2 J3 League
31.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Consadole Sapporo	2:1 penalties ✺
24.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Tochigi City	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:1 ✺
10.05.26	Tochigi - Blaublitz Akita	1:0 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Blaublitz Akita - Sagamihara	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.5 WWWLL
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 J3 League
30.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:1 ET ✺
24.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United	1:5 ✺
17.05.26	Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
06.05.26	Kagoshima United - Oita Trinita	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.4 WWWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 League
11.08.24	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	2:0
02.06.24	Kagoshima United - Blaublitz Akita	0:0
Japan J3 League
19.12.20	Kagoshima United - Blaublitz Akita	3:0
22.09.20	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	0:0

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