Match Info

J2/J3 League - Placement matches - Round 1

Date: 31 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Giravanz Kitakyushu

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.58	3.05	2.52	Watch
	2.63	3.43	2.54
	2.7	3.11	2.65	Watch
	2.5	3.1	2.5
	2.67	3.22	2.59	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.62 ↑ (2.16)	3.18 ↓ (3.39)	2.56 ↓ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
35.2%

Draw
28.9%

Giravanz Kitakyushu
35.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43%

27.4%

29.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.7%

25.3%

32.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kamatamare Sanuki's form might have worsened.

Giravanz Kitakyushu has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Giravanz Kitakyushu's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Giravanz Kitakyushu than the current prediction. (-3.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
33.3%	66.7%	0%

Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Kamatamare will win (votes: 1 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 66.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Imamura Y. (G) 44. Hayashida K. 20. Lee Gi-San 6. Miyazaki S. 5. Kokubun M. 66. Woo S. 14. Ishikura J. 24. Ueno A. 11. Sano R. 90. Goto Y. 77. Murakami Y.	41. Sugimoto M. (G) 6. Hoshi K. 96. Saitai Y. 4. Hasegawa K. 40. Kanzawa R. 13. Kumasawa K. 17. Okano R. 19. Yoshihara F. 66. Takahashi D. 7. Hirahara R. 37. Yoshida K.
Substitutes
86. Asada H. 7. Eguchi N. 39. Harano R. 33. Kawakami S. 17. Makiyama K. 60. Morikawa Y. 30. Oka H. 23. Takahashi C. (G) 29. Tao K.	30. Fukumori K. 24. Hiramatsu S. 22. Ikoma J. 14. Izawa H. 9. Kawabe S. 23. Maeda R. 39. Taniguchi R. (G) 18. Watanabe S. 8. Yoshinaga M.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
34', 1 - 0, Lee Gi-San ⚽, Goto Y. (A),
45+2', 2 - 0, Goto Y. ⚽, Murakami Y. (A),
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Lee Gi-San ↓, Oka H. ↑,
46', Takahashi D. ↓, Kawabe S. ↑,
48', 2 - 1, Saitai Y. ⚽, Yoshihara F. (A),
60', Hirahara R. ↓, Watanabe S. ↑,
70', Kanzawa R. ↓, Yoshinaga M. ↑,
73', 3 - 1, Ishikura J. ⚽, Hayashida K. (A),
77', Woo S. ↓, Eguchi N. ↑,
77', Kokubun M. ↓, Tao K. ↑,
79', Yoshida K. ↓, Izawa H. ↑,
79', Yoshihara F. ↓, Hiramatsu S. ↑,
82', Goto Y. ↓, Morikawa Y. ↑,
89', Murakami Y. ↓, Makiyama K. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1.

Kamatamare has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Giravanz has been struggling lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 14 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 10:24. (average 0.7:1.7).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 2 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:10. (average 1.1:1.4).

Last Results with these Odds

Giravanz Kitakyushu - the odds 3.14 are the expected chance of winning is 29.59%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Osaka	2:3 penalties ✺
17.05.26	Imabari - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 ✺
10.05.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	0:3 ✺
06.05.26	Kataller Toyama - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 penalties ✺
03.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.8 LWLWL
- Giravanz Kitakyushu
Japan J2 J3 League
24.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United	1:5 ✺
17.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0 ✺
10.05.26	Gainare Tottori - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:1 penalties ✺
06.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Roasso Kumamoto	1:2 ✺
03.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Oita Trinita	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
19.10.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:4
08.03.25	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0
10.11.24	Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:2
14.04.24	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1
22.10.23	Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:0
12.03.23	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:0
30.10.22	Kamatamare Sanuki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	2:2

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