The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kamatamare Sanuki 27.1%
Draw 27.4%
Roasso Kumamoto 45.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
28.9%
27.5%
43.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.5%
27.3%
43.2%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)
Roasso Kumamoto has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+2.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Roasso Kumamoto than the current prediction. (-2.3%)
Kamatamare Sanuki - Roasso Kumamoto Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Aoki K. (G) 34. Namimoto R. 30. Oka H. 6. Miyazaki S. 29. Tao K. 33. Kawakami S. 66. Woo S. (C) 60. Morikawa Y. 11. Sano R. 10. Goto Y. 99. Yonezawa R.
1. Sato S. (G) 4. Yakushida R. 24. Ri T. (C) 5. Kobayashi K. 39. Ishida R. 13. Iihoshi A. 15. Mishima S. 37. Ozawa H. 29. Mishina N. 7. Fujii K. 9. Bae Jeong-Min
Substitutes
16. Arita S. 86. Asada H. 44. Hayashida K. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 20. Lee Gi-San 17. Makiyama K. 77. Murakami Y. 24. Ueno A.
14. Ishihara O. 10. Katori Y. 22. Matsuda E. 17. Nagai S. 32. Nakayama T. 27. Negishi K. 3. Onishi R. 23. Sato Y. (G) 11. Watanabe R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 1)
43', 0 - 1, Bae Jeong-Min ⚽, Kobayashi K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Goto Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
46', Namimoto R. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
51', Kobayashi K. ↓, Onishi R. ↑,
55', Morikawa Y. 🟨,
59', 0 - 2, Fujii K. ⚽, Ishida R. (A),
63', Sano R. ↓, Arita S. ↑,
66', Mishima S. ↓, Negishi K. ↑,
66', Mishina N. ↓, Ishihara O. ↑,
69', Yonezawa R. ↓, Ishikura J. ↑,
78', Fujii K. ↓, Nagai S. ↑,
78', Bae Jeong-Min ↓, Nakayama T. ↑,
89', Oka H. ↓, Lee Gi-San ↑,
90', 0 - 3, Nakayama T. ⚽, Nagai S. (A),
Preview
A team fighting near the bottom hosts a mid-table side in a match full of urgency (ranked 19th in the J3 League (Relegation) and 9th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1.
Kamatamare has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Performances by Kumamoto have been somewhat unpredictable lately (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Kamatamare could enjoy a physical edge thanks to more rest days ahead of this match.
Kumamoto is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 14 head-to-head meetings, Kamatamare has recorded 2 wins, 5 draws, and 7 losses, with a goal aggregate of 8:19 (averaging 0.6:1.4 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kamatamare against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 3 draws, and 3 losses, with 4:7 goals (averaging 0.6:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
7
Kumamoto
14
6
6
2
16:8
8
24
19
Kamatamare
14
2
2
10
15:27
-12
8
Last Results with these Odds
Kamatamare Sanuki - the odds 3.1 are the expected chance of winning is 28.85%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.