Match Info

J3 League - Round 2

Date: 16 August 2026, Sunday

Location: Konoike Athletic Stadium (Nara)

Where to Watch on TV:


Usa	SportsEngine Play


	Nara Club		Kagoshima United

	1	X	2
	3.90	3.50	1.73
	3.90	3.30	1.80	Watch
	4.47	3.61	1.75
	4.08	3.58	1.84	Watch
	4.30	3.55	1.72
	4.54	3.50	1.68	Watch
	4.10	3.40	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.18 ↑ (2.96)	3.49 ↑ (3.25)	1.76 ↓ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Nara Club
21.8%

Draw
26.2%

Kagoshima United
52%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

30.8%

28%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Nara Club has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Nara Club's form might have worsened.

Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Kagoshima United's recent form is better than expected.

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
96. Vito M. (G) 40. Yoshimura Y. 33. Sato H. 22. Ikoma K. 8. Yoshida A. 30. Masuda S. 10. Morita R. 14. Mochizuki S. 7. Tamura R. 54. Kawasaki S. 99. Morimoto H.	21. Kawakami K. (G) 35. Egawa G. 4. Hirose K. 36. Ikeda J. 44. Aoki Y. 7. Tanaka W. 19. Inaba S. 8. Fujimura K. 20. Endo M. 55. Nakayama K. 18. Kawamura K.
Substitutes
13. Ando R. 18. Goto T. 36. Ishii T. 48. Kawanishi S. 1. Miyazawa T. (G) 11. Sato R. 2. Takahata K. 9. Togashi Y. 21. Tomizu R.	9. Arita R. 27. Kawashima K. 73. Kim M. 16. Muramatsu K. 2. Saga R. 31. Sakata D. (G) 22. Takahashi A. 10. Take S. 14. Yoshio K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
30', 0 - 1, Kawamura K. ⚽, Aoki Y. (A),
45+2', 1 - 1, Mochizuki S. ⚽, Ikoma K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', Nakayama K. ↓, Arita R. ↑,
56', Endo M. ↓, Yoshio K. ↑,
56', Tanaka W. ↓, Saga R. ↑,
57', 1 - 2, Arita R. ⚽,
63', Aoki Y. 🟨,
64', Mochizuki S. ↓, Ando R. ↑,
64', Morimoto H. ↓, Goto T. ↑,
64', Masuda S. ↓, Kawanishi S. ↑,
78', Yoshimura Y. ↓, Ishii T. ↑,
78', Tamura R. ↓, Togashi Y. ↑,
85', Hirose K. 🟨,
89', Kawamura K. ↓, Takahashi A. ↑,
90', 1 - 3, Saga R. ⚽, Takahashi A. (A),
90+3', Kawasaki S. 🟨,
90+7', Vito M. 🟨,

Preview

In this match, Kagoshima United is the team to beat.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Nara Club won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 0.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Nara Club won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 0:2. (average 0:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Kagoshima Utd	10	7	2	1	19:11	8	23
4	Nara Club	10	6	2	2	21:16	5	20

Last Results with these Odds

Nara Club - the odds 2.96 are the expected chance of winning is 30.77%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Kagoshima United - the odds 2.21 are the expected chance of winning is 41.23%, but this team recently wins 56% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Nara Club
Japan J2 J3 League
06.06.26	Matsumoto Yamaga - Nara Club	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Nara Club - Oita Trinita	4:3 ET ✺
23.05.26	Nara Club - Kataller Toyama	5:1 ✺
16.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Nara Club	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Tokushima Vortis - Nara Club	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 35.3 WWWLW
- Kagoshima United
Japan J2 J3 League
07.06.26	Blaublitz Akita - Kagoshima United	0:2 ✺
30.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kagoshima United	0:1 ET ✺
24.05.26	Giravanz Kitakyushu - Kagoshima United	1:5 ✺
17.05.26	Kagoshima United - Roasso Kumamoto	2:1 ✺
10.05.26	Reilac Shiga - Kagoshima United	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
13.09.25	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	0:2
03.05.25	Kagoshima United - Nara Club	1:2
05.11.23	Kagoshima United - Nara Club	1:1
03.06.23	Nara Club - Kagoshima United	0:0

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