Match Info

J3 League - Round 25

Date: 31 August 2025, Sunday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Thespakusatsu Gunma

	1	X	2
	2.55	3.1	2.45
	2.58	3.25	2.4
	2.72	3.44	2.46
	1.72	4.10	3.99	Watch
	2.62	2.9	2.5
	2.71	3.54	2.4	Watch
	2.41	3.02	2.76
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.47 ↑ (2.41)	3.34 ↑ (3.05)	2.71 ↓ (2.85)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
37.7%

Draw
27.9%

Thespakusatsu Gunma
34.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

37.9%

30%

32.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39%

29.2%

31.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.2%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-3.2%)

Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0 - Kamatamare (1.91) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kamatamare (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Iida M. (G) 2. Uchida M. 3. Ibayashi A. 99. Tsukegi Y. 24. Ueno A. 40. Nishimaru M. 33. Kawakami S. 6. Hasegawa H. 17. Makiyama K. 10. Kawanishi S. 22. Ono Y.	13. Kondo I. (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 38. Konishi H. 36. Adachi S. 37. Sehata G. 18. Tanaka S. 7. Nishimura Y. 15. Kazama K. 32. Kawata A.
Substitutes
11. Eduardo 55. Fujii Y. 90. Goto Y. 44. Hayashida K. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 23. Iwagishi S. 15. Iwamoto K. 88. Matsumoto K. 35. Sago S.	9. Aoki S. 27. Fujimura R. 4. Funabashi Y. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 49. Kotake S. 43. Nose S. 20. Shimokawa T. 10. Takazawa Y. 8. Yamauchi R.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Ono Y. ⚽, Ueno A. (A),
21', Adachi S. 🟨,
39', 2 - 0, Ono Y. ⚽, Nishimaru M. (A),
42', Konishi H. ↓, Shimokawa T. ↑,
42', Kawata A. ↓, Takazawa Y. ↑,
42', Koyanagi T. ↓, Nose S. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 2)
47', 2 - 1, Takahashi Y. ⚽, Adachi S. (A),
52', 3 - 1, Ueno A. ⚽, Hasegawa H. (A),
56', Nishimaru M. ↓, Iwagishi S. ↑,
66', 3 - 2, Takazawa Y. ⚽, Adachi S. (A),
69', Ono Y. ↓, Goto Y. ↑,
69', Makiyama K. ↓, Eduardo ↑,
77', Hasegawa H. ↓, Iwamoto K. ↑,
77', Kawanishi S. ↓, Matsumoto K. ↑,
80', Sehata G. ↓, Fujimura R. ↑,
84', Kawakami S. 🟨,
85', Kazama K. ↓, Funabashi Y. ↑,

Preview

In this match, only outsiders will meet (ranked 19 in the zone J3 League (Relegation) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 2.

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Recently, Thespakusatsu has had a series of home games.

The probability of winning is almost the same for both teams in this match.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 5 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.1:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 3:6. (average 0.8:1.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Ryūkyū - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Gifu	1:1 ✺
26.07.25	Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
19.07.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TTLLW
- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Tochigi	0:1 ✺
16.08.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Osaka	2:0 ✺
26.07.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Tochigi City - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.4 LWLTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
15.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3
Japan J2 League
11.08.17	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2
21.05.17	Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:2
11.08.16	Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3
20.03.16	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2
08.08.15	Kamatamare Sanuki - Thespakusatsu Gunma	0:1
29.04.15	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:0

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