Match Info

J3 League - Round 25

Date: 30 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Kochi Haruno Athletic Stadium (Kochi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Kochi United		Tegevajaro Miyazaki

	1	X	2
	2.45	3	2.6
	2.52	2.98	2.62
	2.65	3.05	2.81
	2.87	2.89	2.63	Watch
	2.5	2.9	2.62
	2.55	2.95	2.64	Watch
	2.45	3.06	2.67
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.57 ↓ (3.09)	2.98 ↓ (3.05)	2.66 ↑ (2.27)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 6.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kochi United
35.3%

Draw
30.5%

Tegevajaro Miyazaki
34.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

29.7%

30%

40.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

28.5%

28.8%

42%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kochi United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.6%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kochi United's performance.

Tegevajaro Miyazaki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tegevajaro Miyazaki might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-6.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Kochi United that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tegevajaro Miyazaki than the current prediction. (+7.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tegevajaro Miyazaki could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Kochi United - Tegevajaro Miyazaki Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH 0, 1st Half - Kochi United (1.81) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Kochi United (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Osugi S. (G) 4. Kobayashi D. 37. Fukagawa D. 38. Suzuki S. 26. Suto N. 88. Kudo M. 16. Kozuki S. 8. Takano Y. 24. Okazawa H. 9. Shintani M. 10. Sasaki T.	32. Lee Chung-won (G) 4. Sakurai F. 33. Kuroki K. 35. Egawa G. 39. Shimokawa Y. 41. Sakai S. 50. Yasuda K. 8. Rikiyasu S. 47. Okumura K. 58. Take H. 11. Hashimoto K.
Substitutes
25. Imai N. 39. Joppu S. 15. Kobayashi R. 1. Kurokawa R. (G) 66. Miyoshi R. 19. Mizuno H. 20. Sugiyama R. 5. Tanabe Y. 18. Toya T.	40. Ando R. 20. Ano M. 10. Inoue R. 28. Manabe H. 42. Matsumoto K. 30. Mochizuki K. 31. Okamoto M. (G) 6. Okuma K. 45. Tanaka S.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
31', 0 - 1, Hashimoto K. ⚽, Okumura K. (A),
45+2', 0 - 2, Kuroki K. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Suto N. ↓, Mizuno H. ↑,
46', Shintani M. ↓, Toya T. ↑,
58', 1 - 2, Fukagawa D. ⚽,
60', Sasaki T. ↓, Joppu S. ↑,
72', Okazawa H. ↓, Miyoshi R. ↑,
76', Sakai S. ↓, Ano M. ↑,
76', Egawa G. ↓, Manabe H. ↑,
76', Sakurai F. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
83', Shimokawa Y. ↓, Okuma K. ↑,
87', Hashimoto K. ↓, Inoue R. ↑,
88', Takano Y. ↓, Sugiyama R. ↑,

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 11 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ J3 League (Promotion ~ Play Offs: )).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Kochi United won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kochi United
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Nara Club - Kochi United	3:0 ✺
16.08.25	Gainare Tottori - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
26.07.25	Kochi United - Fukushima United	1:0 ✺
19.07.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	1:2 ✺
12.07.25	Kochi United - Zweigen Kanazawa	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.1 LLWWT
- Tegevajaro Miyazaki
Japan J3 League
23.08.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Azul Claro Numazu	2:1 ✺
16.08.25	Zweigen Kanazawa - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	2:3 ✺
26.07.25	Sagamihara - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	1:0 ✺
21.07.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Giravanz Kitakyushu	1:3 ✺
12.07.25	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 WWLLT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
03.05.25	Tegevajaro Miyazaki - Kochi United	3:2

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