Match Info

J2/J3 League - Round 16

Date: 10 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Pikara (Marugame)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	AbemaTV, DAZN Japan


	Kamatamare Sanuki		Kochi United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.7	3	2.35
	2.98	3.05	2.25	Watch
	3.02	3.15	2.3
	3.06	3.11	2.37	Watch
	2.9	3.1	2.2
	3.03	3.04	2.27	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.95 ↓ (2.99)	3.08 ↓ (3.09)	2.29 ↑ (2.28)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kamatamare Sanuki
30.8%

Draw
29.5%

Kochi United
39.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.5%

29.5%

40%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.2%

27.9%

37.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kamatamare Sanuki has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.3%)

Kochi United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kochi United than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
20%	60%	20%

Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United Predictions

Users Predictions: 5 users predict this event. Kamatamare will win (votes: 1 - 20%). Kochi United will win (votes: 1 - 20%). It will Tie (votes: 3 - 60%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Takahashi C. (G) 44. Hayashida K. 40. Takashima S. 29. Tao K. 17. Makiyama K. 6. Miyazaki S. 66. Woo S. 60. Morikawa Y. 13. Maekawa T. 8. Mori Y. 77. Murakami Y.	99. Murata Y. (G) 3. Fukumiya K. 4. Kobayashi D. 22. Fujimori R. 88. Hama T. 5. Fukagawa D. 8. Takano Y. 33. Cho H. 10. Sasaki T. 73. Tanaka T. 9. Shintani M.
Substitutes
86. Asada H. 39. Harano R. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 20. Lee Gi-San 30. Oka H. 35. Sago S. 11. Sano R. 27. Yanagi Y.	18. Aoto K. 26. Asano K. 17. Inose K. (G) 7. Kanehara A. 30. Kato Y. 23. Matsumoto D. 76. Mikado Y.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 2)
10', Tao K. 🟨,
17', 0 - 1, Shintani M. ⚽, Tanaka T. (A),
21', 0 - 2, Fukagawa D. ⚽, Fukumiya K. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
46', Mori Y. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
46', Takashima S. ↓, Ishikura J. ↑,
46', Maekawa T. ↓, Sano R. ↑,
70', Makiyama K. ↓, Sago S. ↑,
70', Tao K. ↓, Lee Gi-San ↑,
72', Shintani M. ↓, Aoto K. ↑,
72', Tanaka T. ↓, Kanehara A. ↑,
75', Morikawa Y. 🟨,
85', 0 - 3, Aoto K. ⚽, Hama T. (A),
86', Fukagawa D. ↓, Mikado Y. ↑,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 10 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: ) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ J2/J3 League (Placement matches: )).

Kamatamare is going through a rough patch (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kochi United's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Kamatamare may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Kamatamare has had a series of away games.

Kochi United will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 4 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 5:7. (average 1.3:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Kamatamare won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 3:5. (average 1.5:2.5).

Last Results with these Odds

Kamatamare Sanuki - the odds 2.99 are the expected chance of winning is 30.53%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kamatamare Sanuki
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Kataller Toyama - Kamatamare Sanuki	1:2 penalties ✺
03.05.26	Albirex Niigata - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
29.04.26	Kamatamare Sanuki - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
26.04.26	Ehime - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:0 ✺
18.04.26	Nara Club - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 WLLLL
- Kochi United
Japan J2 J3 League
06.05.26	Imabari - Kochi United	1:0 ✺
02.05.26	Kochi United - Osaka	1:0 penalties ✺
29.04.26	Nara Club - Kochi United	1:0 penalties ✺
26.04.26	Kochi United - Tokushima Vortis	2:1 ✺
19.04.26	Kataller Toyama - Kochi United	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.6 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J2 J3 League
05.04.26	Kochi United - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:0
Japan J3 League
19.07.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	1:2
Japan Emperors Cup
24.05.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Kochi United	2:3 penalties
Japan J3 League
06.05.25	Kochi United - Kamatamare Sanuki	0:2

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