The best margin for this event is 6.7%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kamatamare Sanuki 25.9%
Draw 26.1%
Tochigi 48%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
31.4%
29.8%
38.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
33.9%
27.6%
36%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kamatamare Sanuki has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kamatamare Sanuki's form might have worsened.
Tochigi has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.1%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Tochigi's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kamatamare Sanuki than the current prediction. (+8%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kamatamare Sanuki, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (-12%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Tochigi, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Kamatamare Sanuki - Tochigi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
55. Aoki K. (G) 30. Oka H. 34. Namimoto R. 6. Miyazaki S. 60. Morikawa Y. 33. Kawakami S. 66. Woo S. (C) 29. Tao K. 11. Sano R. 99. Yonezawa R. 10. Goto Y.
41. Tashiro R. (G) 88. Uchida K. 3. Higashi R. 14. Suzuki S. 77. Nakamura J. 7. Osako R. 23. Sese H. 13. Osone K. (C) 17. Sugimori K. 10. Igarashi T. 20. Suzuki W. I.
Substitutes
16. Arita S. 86. Asada H. 44. Hayashida K. 1. Imamura Y. (G) 14. Ishikura J. 5. Kokubun M. 20. Lee Gi-San 17. Makiyama K. 77. Murakami Y.
1. Kawata S. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 9. Kondo Y. 18. Matsushita Y. 16. Myogan T. 81. Nakano K. 2. Sakurai R. 25. Yamaguchi T. 5. Yanagi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Igarashi T. ↓, Yamaguchi T. ↑,
46', Kawakami S. ↓, Hayashida K. ↑,
68', Goto Y. ↓, Murakami Y. ↑,
74', Nakamura J. ↓, Kondo Y. ↑,
79', Higashi R. 🟨,
90', Yamaguchi T. 🟨,
90+2', Yonezawa R. ↓, Asada H. ↑,
Preview
A determined lower-tier side seeks an essential result against mid-table opposition (ranked 20th in the Relegation and 15th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kamatamare won 1.
Kamatamare has struggled for results with multiple recent losses (last 5 matches: 0 wins).
Tochigi is experiencing a dip in performance (last 5 matches: 1 win).
A closely fought contest is anticipated, with Tochigi holding a narrow advantage.
In the last 8 head-to-head meetings, Kamatamare has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 5 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 0.9:1 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kamatamare against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 2 losses, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.3:1 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
16
Tochigi SC
13
3
5
5
12:16
-4
14
19
Kamatamare
13
2
2
9
15:25
-10
8
Last Results with these Odds
Kamatamare Sanuki - the odds 2.85 are the expected chance of winning is 31.36%, but this team recently wins 13% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Aoki K. (G) 
Woo S. (C) 
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