Match Info

J3 League - Round 20

Date: 12 July 2025, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Nagano Parceiro

	1	X	2
	1.8	3.4	3.7
	1.95	3.3	3.4	Watch
	2.02	3.43	3.59
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.7
	1.92	3.42	3.5	Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (2.02)	3.34 ↑ (3.2)	3.57 ↑ (3.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
47.2%

Draw
27.3%

Nagano Parceiro
25.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

44.8%

28.2%

27%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.9%

28.1%

26.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.4%)

Nagano Parceiro has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nagano Parceiro than the current prediction. (+1.3%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nagano Parceiro Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 43. Nose S. 22. Takahashi Y. 20. Shimokawa T. 36. Adachi S. 37. Sehata G. 19. Mohamado F. 7. Nishimura Y. 33. Sakurai A. 10. Takazawa Y.	1. Tajiri K. (G) 16. Ishii K. 7. Ono Y. 3. Tomita K. 33. Ando K. 5. Hasegawa Y. 46. Koga S. 8. Kondo T. 10. Yamanaka R. 77. Thales 11. Shin K.
Substitutes
9. Aoki S. 11. Kagami T. 32. Kawata A. 14. Kikuchi K. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 49. Kotake S. 3. Ohata R. 18. Tanaka S. 8. Yamauchi R.	28. Fujikawa K. 4. Gyotoku E. 20. Kano H. 47. Kato K. 13. Konishi H. 21. Matsubara S. (G) 18. Ukita K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
42', Koga S. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Thales ↓, Fujikawa K. ↑,
46', Sakurai A. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
66', Shimokawa T. ↓, Kotake S. ↑,
66', Mohamado F. ↓, Tanaka S. ↑,
66', Kondo T. ↓, Kano H. ↑,
76', Takazawa Y. ↓, Kawata A. ↑,
82', Ishii K. ↓, Gyotoku E. ↑,
82', Yamanaka R. ↓, Konishi H. ↑,
86', Koga S. ↓, Kato K. ↑,
88', Adachi S. ↓, Aoki S. ↑,
90', Nose S. 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 14 and 16)

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Thespakusatsu will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Last Results with these Odds

Nagano Parceiro - the odds 3.35 are the expected chance of winning is 26.96%, but this team recently wins 0% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
05.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
22.06.25	Vanraure Hachinohe - Thespakusatsu Gunma	2:0 ✺
15.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kamatamare Sanuki	3:3 ✺
Japan Emperors Cup
11.06.25	Kashima Antlers - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.9 WLLTL
- AC Nagano Parceiro
Japan J3 League
06.07.25	Nagano Parceiro - Osaka	0:0 ✺
29.06.25	Kochi United - Nagano Parceiro	1:0 ✺
21.06.25	Kamatamare Sanuki - Nagano Parceiro	0:1 ✺
14.06.25	Nagano Parceiro - Gifu	1:2 ✺
08.06.25	Gainare Tottori - Nagano Parceiro	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.2 TLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
01.03.25	Nagano Parceiro - Thespakusatsu Gunma	3:2

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