Match Info

J3 League - Round 23

Date: 16 August 2025, Saturday

Location: Shoda Shoyu Stadium Gunma (Maebashi)

Where to Watch on TV:


China	K-Ball
Japan	DAZN Japan


	Thespakusatsu Gunma		Osaka

	1	X	2
	3.8	3.2	1.82
	3.4	3.3	1.92	Watch
	3.57	3.56	2.11
	3.25	3.55	2.06	Watch
	3.7	3.1	1.85
	3.59	3.4	1.9	Watch
	3.75	3.66	1.78
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.58 ↓ (3.75)	3.4 ↓ (3.66)	1.92 ↑ (1.78)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Thespakusatsu Gunma
25.5%

Draw
26.9%

Osaka
47.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

24.2%

24.8%

51%

Our Initial ML Estimation

23.7%

24.3%

52.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Thespakusatsu Gunma has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.3%)

Osaka has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Thespakusatsu Gunma than the current prediction. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Osaka than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Thespakusatsu Gunma - Osaka Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Osaka (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kondo I. (G) 30. Koyanagi T. 3. Ohata R. 22. Takahashi Y. 38. Konishi H. 36. Adachi S. 37. Sehata G. 18. Tanaka S. 7. Nishimura Y. 15. Kazama K. 32. Kawata A.	1. Yamamoto T. (G) 37. Tsutsumi S. 3. Kawakami R. 23. Akiyama T. 16. Hashimoto R. 10. Kubo R. 33. Woo S. 27. Sawazaki R. 19. Masuda S. 7. Kitsui T. 9. Shimada T.
Substitutes
9. Aoki S. 27. Fujimura R. 21. Kim Je-hee (G) 49. Kotake S. 43. Nose S. 20. Shimokawa T. 10. Takazawa Y. 35. Tamashiro T. 8. Yamauchi R.	8. Haga A. 5. Minakuchi Y. 39. Mochizuki S. 51. Nishimura M. 41. Nose R. 31. Sugawara H. (G) 6. Tachino S. 25. Takei S. 11. Tone R.
Coaches
Okita M.	Otake N.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
10', 1 - 0, Kawata A. ⚽, Takahashi Y. (A),
24', 2 - 0, Takahashi Y. ⚽, Tanaka S. (A),
33', Konishi H. 🟨,
41', Kawata A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Shimada T. ↓, Mochizuki S. ↑,
46', Sawazaki R. ↓, Haga A. ↑,
55', Tsutsumi S. 🟨,
58', Kazama K. ↓, Fujimura R. ↑,
58', Sehata G. ↓, Yamauchi R. ↑,
67', Kitsui T. ↓, Nishimura M. ↑,
67', Kubo R. ↓, Nose R. ↑,
69', Konishi H. ↓, Shimokawa T. ↑,
83', Nishimura Y. ↓, Nose S. ↑,
83', Kawata A. ↓, Takazawa Y. ↑,
83', Masuda S. ↓, Tone R. ↑,
90+2', Nishimura M. 🟨,

Preview

This match will feature an outsider and one of the leaders (ranked 16 and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ J2 League).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

In this match, Osaka is the team to beat.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Thespakusatsu won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Thespakusatsu Gunma
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Kagoshima United	2:3 ✺
19.07.25	Tochigi City - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:1 ✺
12.07.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Nagano Parceiro	0:0 ✺
05.07.25	Matsumoto Yamaga - Thespakusatsu Gunma	1:3 ✺
28.06.25	Thespakusatsu Gunma - Zweigen Kanazawa	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.6 LTTWL
- FC Osaka
Japan J3 League
26.07.25	Osaka - Kamatamare Sanuki	2:1 ✺
21.07.25	Kagoshima United - Osaka	2:1 ✺
12.07.25	Osaka - Tegevajaro Miyazaki	0:0 ✺
06.07.25	Nagano Parceiro - Osaka	0:0 ✺
30.06.25	Osaka - Nara Club	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.7 WLTTT

Latest Head to Head

Japan J3 League
18.04.25	Osaka - Thespakusatsu Gunma	4:3

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