The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Kagoshima United 54.7%
Draw 25.4%
Tochigi 19.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
48.7%
28%
23.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
50.3%
27.1%
22.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Kagoshima United has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Kagoshima United's performance.
Tochigi has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.4%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kagoshima United than the current prediction. (-4.4%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tochigi than the current prediction. (+2.7%)
Kagoshima United - Tochigi Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
31. Sakata D. (G) 35. Egawa G. 4. Hirose K. 36. Ikeda J. 44. Aoki Y. 7. Tanaka W. 14. Yoshio K. 8. Fujimura K. 2. Saga R. 9. Arita R. 18. Kawamura K.
41. Tashiro R. (G) 88. Uchida K. 3. Higashi R. 14. Suzuki S. 6. Abe K. 7. Osako R. 27. Nagai T. 39. Yagi K. 17. Sugimori K. 10. Igarashi T. 9. Kondo Y.
Substitutes
20. Endo M. 19. Inaba S. 99. Juanma Delgado 21. Kawakami K. (G) 27. Kawashima K. 73. Kim M. 16. Muramatsu K. 22. Takahashi A. 10. Take S.
1. Kawata S. (G) 37. Kimura Y. 18. Matsushita Y. 16. Myogan T. 77. Nakamura J. 80. Otabor K. 2. Sakurai R. 20. Suzuki W. I. 5. Yanagi Y.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Suzuki S. (Own goal),
12', Sugimori K. 🟨,
37', 2 - 0, Yoshio K. ⚽,
44', Yagi K. 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Yagi K. ↓, Myogan T. ↑,
57', Sugimori K. ↓, Nakamura J. ↑,
72', Igarashi T. ↓, Otabor K. ↑,
72', Kondo Y. ↓, Suzuki W. I. ↑,
77', Tanaka W. ↓, Endo M. ↑,
77', Kawamura K. ↓, Takahashi A. ↑,
80', Ikeda J. ↓, Kim M. ↑,
83', Myogan T. 🟨,
85', Abe K. ↓, Sakurai R. ↑,
86', 🟨,
90+1', 3 - 0, Takahashi A. ⚽, Arita R. (A),
90+2', Arita R. ↓, Juanma Delgado ↑,
90+2', Yoshio K. ↓, Kawashima K. ↑,
90+4', 3 - 1, Suzuki W. I. ⚽, Uchida K. (A),
Preview
The table topper faces a competitive test against mid-table opposition (ranked 1st in the Promotion ~ J2 League and 11th).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Kagoshima United won 2.
Kagoshima United is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Tochigi has struggled for form in recent encounters (last 5 matches: 1 win).
Tochigi may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Kagoshima United is expected to hold a slight competitive edge in this match.
In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Kagoshima United has recorded 3 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 7:8 (averaging 1.2:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Kagoshima United against this opponent, the record stands at 3 wins, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 5:1 goals (averaging 1.7:0.3 per game).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
1
Kagoshima Utd
9
7
2
0
19:10
9
23
14
Tochigi SC
9
2
4
3
11:14
-3
10
Last Results with these Odds
Tochigi - the odds 3.85 are the expected chance of winning is 23.28%, but this team recently wins 38% of matches with these odds.
Japan
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Sakata D. (G) 
Juanma Delgado 
Kim M. 
Otabor K. 
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