Match Info

Premier League - Round 25

Date: 20 March 2026, Friday

Location: Palms Sports Arena (Baku)

Referee: Qurbanov T. (Aze)

Where to Watch on TV:


Azerbaijan	CBC Sport


	Neftchi Baku		İmişli

	1	X	2
	1.5	3.85	5.3	Watch
	1.55	4.3	5.5
	1.54	3.89	5.51	Watch
	1.5	3.9	5
	1.47	4.05	5.76	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.51 ↓ (1.62)	4 ↑ (3.48)	5.41 ↑ (5.19)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Neftchi Baku
60.3%

Draw
22.8%

İmişli
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

26.2%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.4%

25.3%

16.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Neftchi Baku has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

İmişli has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Neftchi Baku than the current prediction. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for İmişli than the current prediction. (+0.1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
85.7%	0%	14.3%

Neftchi Baku - İmişli Predictions

Users Predictions: Neftchi Baku will win (6 of 7 users predict this - 85.71%).
Confidence interval (95%): 59.78% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Piric K. (G) 33. Breno Almeida 11. Faraj I. 5. Igor Ribeiro 17. Khachayev M. 8. Mahmudov E. (C) 18. Mathew I. 7. Safarov E. 24. Seck M. 70. Shtogrin A. 10. Vargas F.	33. Sinenko A. (G) 79. Cardoso D. 23. Diogo Rollo 9. Dos Santos D. 7. Juninho 10. Karaklajic N. 17. Morgan E. 14. Ronaldo 19. Salahly A. (C) 94. Viegas R. 3. Yusifli T.
Substitutes
1. Balayev E. (G) 4. Camalov E. 27. Costin C. 28. Curci A. 6. D'Almeida S. 81. Hasanov M. (G) 14. Kuc E. 47. Mammadov M. 22. Ortiz L. 23. Rezabala J. 77. Sacko F. 19. Salyanskiy A.	90. Abbaszadeh R. 21. Agazada A. 99. Ali I. (G) 47. Faracov O. 20. Huseynov N. 5. Inqilably I. 44. Isayev H. 97. Mahmudov K. 30. Mursalli K. 11. Qanbarov V. 1. Quliyev H. (G)
Coaches
Vernidub Y.	Casquilha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Breno Almeida ⚽,
15', 2 - 0, Faraj I. ⚽,
19', 3 - 0, Safarov E. ⚽,
43', Juninho 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Seck M. ↓, Camalov E. ↑,
46', Mathew I. ↓, D'Almeida S. ↑,
50', 4 - 0, Faraj I. ⚽,
55', 5 - 0, Mahmudov E. ⚽,
60', 6 - 0, Safarov E. ⚽,
65', Piric K. ↓, Balayev E. ↑,
70', Karaklajic N. ↓, Mursalli K. ↑,
70', Faraj I. ↓, Curci A. ↑,
81', Diogo Rollo ↓, Isayev H. ↑,
81', Dos Santos D. ↓, Mahmudov K. ↑,

Preview

Neftchi is showing really good form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

İmişli is going through a rough patch (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

In this match, Neftchi is considered a favorite.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Neftchi won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3. (average 1:1.5).

Including home match between the teams, Neftchi won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 2:3.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Neftci Baku	6	5	0	1	18:5	13	15
9	Imisli FK	6	1	1	4	6:11	-5	4

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Neftchi Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
15.03.26	Gabala - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
09.03.26	Neftchi Baku - Turan Tovuz	0:1 ✺
28.02.26	Shamakhi - Neftchi Baku	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Kapaz - Neftchi Baku	1:3 ✺
10.02.26	Neftchi Baku - Gabala	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 WLTWW
- İmişli FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
14.03.26	İmişli - Sabah	0:5 ✺
08.03.26	Shamakhi - İmişli	0:0 ✺
01.03.26	Turan Tovuz - İmişli	0:0 ✺
22.02.26	İmişli - Shamakhi	0:0 ✺
14.02.26	İmişli - Qarabağ Agdam	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.9 LTTTL

Latest Head to Head

Azerbaijan Premier League
23.11.25	Neftchi Baku - İmişli	2:3
22.08.25	İmişli - Neftchi Baku	0:0

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