Match Info

Date: 13 January 2021, Wednesday


	Kapfenberger SV		Mura

	1	X	2
	3.1	3.5	2.05
	2.75	3.5	2.15
	2.75	4	2
	2.65	3.8	2.04
	2.76	4.05	2.09
	2.75	3.7	2.05
	3.08	3.5	2.07
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.83 ↑ (2.21)	3.72 ↑ (3.5)	2.06 ↓ (2.7)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.25

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Kapfenberger SV
31.9%

Draw
24.3%

Mura
43.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

40.8%

25.8%

33.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

54.6%

19.3%

25%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Kapfenberger SV has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Kapfenberger SV's form might have worsened.

Mura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.3%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Mura's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kapfenberger SV than the current prediction. (+22.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Kapfenberger SV, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Mura than the current prediction. (-18.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Mura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Kapfenberger SV - Mura Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Kapfenberg is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Mura 05 is playing unpredictable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recently Kapfenberg have a series of home games.

Mura 05 will have a mini benefit in this match.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Kapfenberger SV
Austrian OFB Cup
15.12.20	Kapfenberger SV - Blau-Weiss Linz	2:0 ✺
Austrian 2 Liga
11.12.20	Kapfenberger SV - Horn	4:1 ✺
04.12.20	Rapid Wien II - Kapfenberger SV	0:3 ✺
27.11.20	Kapfenberger SV - Amstetten	0:0 ✺
24.11.20	Kapfenberger SV - Austria Lustenau	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WWWTL
- NS Mura
Slovenian PrvaLiga
20.12.20	Celje - Mura	1:3 ✺
17.12.20	Maribor - Mura	2:1 ✺
13.12.20	Mura - Domžale	1:1 ✺
05.12.20	Aluminij Kidricevo - Mura	1:2 ✺
02.12.20	Mura - NK Bravo	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.9 WLTWT

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